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金价创近一年新高 最大黄金ETF一月增仓53吨

2017-09-07 09:46:57   中国经济网

黄金成为近期耀眼的避险资产,从7月触底以来,一路走强,最新的价格在1340美金/盎司附近波动,已经创新近一年的新高。随着黄金做多情绪升温,全球最大黄金ETF——SPDR Gold Trust的持仓量也是不断抬高,最新的持仓量为840.08吨,相比一个月前的786.87吨,增加了53.21吨,增幅将近7%。对于未来黄金的走势,目前机构的观点偏暖,认为各种不确定因素依旧存在,避险情绪升温,黄金仍有上涨空间。

今年金价底部不断提高

美联储官员偏鸽派的讲话和地缘政治的摩擦,使得黄金价格一路走高。9月6日凌晨,2017年FOMC票委、明尼阿波利斯联储主席卡什卡利在问答环节中表示,由于近期通胀远低于目标2%的担忧以及就业增长的问题,美联储目前加息不适合。卡什卡利称美国就业市场的宽松超预期,若强行加息或将对美国经济造成严重的影响。此前美联储理事布雷纳德发表了相似的意见。她支持缩表,但是认为通胀依旧疲软,且潜在趋势通胀率有所降低,美联储应谨慎对待加息,最终的加息步伐也许比中期预期的更为谨慎。两位官员的讲话打击了市场对加息的预期。

朝鲜局势继续牵动全球神经。

多个因素加码,黄金价格近期涨势喜人,自从突破1300美金/盎司的关口之后,开始加速上扬。本周一,国际金价盘中突破了去年9月24日高位1338.30美元/盎司,最新的报价显示,黄金价格盘中已经冲上1340美金/盎司,从年初的1151美元/盎司上涨到1340美元/盎司,今年以来金价已经上涨了16.4%。

价格攀升,吸引各路资金入场,全球最大黄金ETF——SPDR Gold Trust的持仓量也是呈现连续上升的态势,近一个月其一直处于净增仓的状态,当前持仓量为840.08吨,较上日增加8.87吨;9月1日的增仓量更是达到14.78吨,相比一个月前的786.87吨,增加了53.21吨,增幅将近7%。“加仓的幅度还是较大,多头的趋势较为明显,显示出资金对黄金资产配置的意愿很强。”广东黄金协会副会长、首席分析师朱志刚对21世纪经济报道记者表示。

“去年金价就是过山车行情,今年黄金则是一波三折,阶梯式上升,年初出现近10%幅度的反弹之后, 3月份,随着美联储加息,黄金出现了明显的调整,盘中一度击穿1200美元/盎司的关口,黄金也迎来了近4个月的调整期,不过进入7月之后,情况发生了180度的大转弯,金价开始快速攀升。整体来看,今年金价始终处于底部不断抬高的形态中。” 钜阵资本高级策略分析师郭伟文表示。

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