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黄金涨势可望延续 专家称利于概念股
2017-09-05 07:06:49 中国经济网
■本报见习记者 杜雨萌
在经历了数周的高位盘整后,上周金价终于企稳在1300美元/盎司上方。截至昨日发稿,金价报1339.4美元/盎司,刷新年内新高。展望后市,多位业内人士认为,金价长期看涨趋势不变。
昨日网易贵金属高级策略分析师刘思源在接受《证券日报》记者采访时表示,近期,黄金价格持续上涨主要是受国际地缘政治因素影响,避险情绪的升温助推。此外,美国8月份非农数据不及预期也使得投资者预期美联储在短期内无力加息,加之美国内部经济政策的不确定性,也为金价上涨进一步提供支撑。
据美国劳工部公布8月份非农就业报告显示,8月份非农就业岗位增加15.6万个,低于18万个的预估值,失业率上升0.1个百分点至4.4%,加上几个反映薪资增长的数据均不及市场预期,显示出美国的就业市场表现略显疲弱。而在数据公布后,市场迅速作出反应,即美元暴跌、黄金暴涨。
“考虑到不及预期的非农数据和陷入纠葛中的美国债务上限讨论,市场并不看好美联储能在今年内完成加息承诺,这将进一步打开金价的上涨空间。此外,愈发紧张的国际形势也将刺激全球金融市场的避险情绪。”刘思源认为,当黄金价格站稳当前价位后,预计后续有望上行至1400美元/盎司。
卓创贵金属分析师张伟告诉《证券日报》记者,黄金受到投资者青睐,预计今年将出现黄金板块上市公司股价与黄金价格齐飞的局面。
从技术层面看,工商银行贵金属业务部交易员徐铨翰认为,国际金价在迅速突破了每盎司1300美元的整数关口后,有望尝试去年英国脱欧时创下的高点每盎司1375美元。但考虑到国际金价的上涨幅度较为明显,成交价进入前期密集成交区域,黄金短期继续上涨的动能有一定程度削弱,但中期看多格局已经确立。
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