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央企整合提速 上车正是时候

2017-08-30 09:38:19   中国经济网

周一,国资委宣布同意神华集团与国电集团重组,神华集团更名为国家能源投资集团,吸收合并国电集团。受此消息刺激,国电和神华旗下公司和部分央企改革概念股大多上涨,其中长源电力、英力特、*ST平能涨停,铁龙物流大涨近8%,洛阳玻璃、龙源技术大涨逾5%。不过,华能国际、华电国际等电力央企走势平淡,微涨不足1%。对此,业内人士表示,随着联通、国电和神华等央企改革进入实质性进展,相关主题将受到市场的追捧。未来会有更多煤电重组案例出现,而铁路等行业的混改也有望迎来新突破。

火电央企或迎机会

电力位列七大混改领域之首,煤电央企整合是今年国企改革的重头戏。在宝武大合并引出“中国神钢”、五矿中冶合并打造“中国神矿”后,在产能过剩的电力行业,谁将率先启动重组打造“中国神电”一直备受资本市场关注,最终花落中国神华和国电电力。

事实上,就在中国神华与国电电力停牌期间,电力圈还传出五大发电企业中,国家电投和华能集团正就重组可能性展开接洽的传闻。

在上半年煤炭价格持续高企的情况下,发电企业火电成本上涨成为业绩大幅下滑的主要原因,煤电重组有望缓解其业绩压力。

对于此次重组,国金证券环保公用行业分析师苏宝亮表示,神华集团作为中国第一大煤炭企业,煤炭供给量仍远大于集团内电煤需求量,吸收合并国电集团后将大幅提高煤炭集团内自供比例,有效对冲煤价风险。煤电合并重组较简单合并同类项重组更具实际意义,未来组建更多煤电联营央企预期较强。

苏宝亮认为,电力行业央企存在较强合并重组预期,包括煤电联营合并、电力集团间合并等形式,叠加用电持续高增、煤价即将见顶等因素将推动火电行业走出利润低谷,火电央企投资机会迎来盈利与估值双轮驱动,看好华能国际、华电国际。

华泰证券此前研报指出,在电企合并、煤电联营、核电注入预期下,关注火电央企旗下上市平台。电企重组序幕拉开,对于煤炭和电力企业的深度重组和整合预期将提高,其他几大发电集团的重组进度料将加速,关注五大发电集团旗下火电资产上市平台:华能国际、华电国际、大唐发电、上海电力等。

央企改革将提速

目前央企数量已从2003年国资委成立时的196家降至98家,合并重组是国资委从管资产转向管资本的重要举措。

去年7月11日,国旅集团整体并入港中旅集团。去年7月15日,中纺集团整体并入中粮集团。去年11月23日,中储棉整体并入中储粮。去年12月7日,宝山钢铁和武汉钢铁联合重组。今年6月29日,中国恒天集团整体并入中国机械工业集团。今年8月21日,中国轻工集团、中国工艺集团整体并入中国保利集团。

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