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煤炭钢铁盈利面扩大 行业景气度或继续回升

2017-08-29 08:59:11   中国经济网

今年以来,由于去产能成效显著,钢铁、煤炭行业盈利面扩大的趋势越来越明显,预期也更加明确。

国家统计局最新发布的统计数据显示,7月份,规模以上工业企业中,国有控股企业利润同比增长34.2%,增速比6月份加快13.5个百分点;其中,央企利润同比增长8.5%,扭转了6月份同比下降6.5%的局面。主要归因于石油加工、煤炭和钢铁等行业效益明显提升。

钢铁方面,中国钢铁工业协会信息统计部李小川近日表示,相比去年,今年的钢铁市场环境大大改善,钢铁全行业已实现扭亏。受益“地条钢”产能的出清以及基建投资的拉动,行业相对平衡的供需格局仍有望得到延续,钢铁行业基本面也在持续回暖。

今年7月末,在中钢协监测的八大钢材品种中,高线和钢筋价格环比由降转升,分别较上月上升203元/吨和160元/吨;角钢、中厚板、热轧卷板、冷轧薄板、镀锌板和无缝钢管价格继续上升,分别环比上升167元/吨、209元/吨、224元/吨、308元/吨、195元/吨和185元/吨。

煤炭方面,随着煤炭行业供给侧结构性改革的推进,煤价持续上涨,整个煤炭行业盈利情况好转明显。从产业纵深来看,今年前7个月,煤炭开采和洗选业利润总额同比增长13.7倍。

对于后市观察,钢铁方面,7月末,中钢协CSPI中国钢材价格指数为106.49点,环比上升5.46点,升幅为5.40%,较上月加大3.63个百分点;与上年同期相比上升34.40点,升幅为47.72%。

金联创钢铁行业分析师李莹昨日在接受《证券日报》记者采访时表示,需求方面,用钢淡季即将过去,自9月份起,用钢需求将会增加,终端采购或有起色。

“供应方面,后期‘2+26’城市工业企业采暖季错峰生产等措施的实行,直接影响后市钢铁供应量。这项措施会使得部分整治不达标的小钢厂退出市场,使市场供需平衡得以改善,对型材市场也有很大提振。”李莹预计。

在煤炭领域,中国煤炭协会相关文章分析,8月份以来全国煤炭价格指数小幅上涨,21日CCTD秦皇岛5500大卡动力煤价格比上月末持平,部分地区炼焦煤价格有所上涨,无烟块煤市场稳中有涨,结合前期价格变动情况,预计8月份煤炭价格偏异指数将继续回升。8月份除市场预期指数外,需求偏异指数、供求平衡指数、价格偏异指数都将比上月升高,预计全国煤炭市场景气指数将继续回升。

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