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8月CPI同比上涨1.8%创半年多新高 专家:不存在通胀压力

2017-09-10 10:36:38   央广网

央广网北京9月10日消息(记者丁华艳 张棉棉 隋鹏)据经济之声《天下财经》报道,国家统计局昨天(9日)发布的数据显示,8月份全国居民消费价格指数(CPI)环比上涨0.4%,涨幅比上月扩大0.3个百分点;同比上涨1.8%,涨幅比上月扩大0.4个百分点,创半年多新高。到底有哪些原因?未来涨幅还会不会进一步扩大?

在山东淄博一处农贸市场,摊主齐女士感叹,最近一个月,鸡蛋一天一个价,最高每天能涨到五六毛钱,一路从上个月的每斤两块五涨到了现在的每斤四块五。

不仅是山东,各地的蛋价都在快速上涨。数据显示,8月CPI的相关因素中,食品价格环比上涨了1.2%,其中,鸡蛋价格上涨16.2%。国务院参事室特约研究员姚景源分析,这主要是季节性因素在发挥作用:“天气太热鸡就不下蛋,供给就会减少,而需求又在增加,所以鸡蛋的价格上涨影响着8月份的CPI。另外,天气原因导致蔬菜的生产也受到了一些影响。”

菜篮子价格也受到天气影响,北京新发地市场商户祝君说,近期受到较强冷空气的影响,他所销售的芹菜生长速度放缓,价格出现上涨,一斤最高卖到1块3,同比去年上涨两成以上。“天凉了,菜长得慢了,现在需求量大,涨了两三毛钱吧”

今年8月份,蔬菜价格经历了四次下降和上涨,波动的频率增加主要是受到天气的影响。北京新发地市场负责人表示,因为天气的原因,近期蔬菜价格出现频繁的波动,并且始终高于去年同期的价位,这种现象在短时间内难以改变。

除了食品价格上涨,8月CPI中,非食品价格环比也上涨0.2%,其中,汽油和柴油价格、医疗服务价格、居住类价格继续出现不同程度上涨。但交通银行首席经济学家连平认为,整体物价上升符合预期,不存在通胀压力。他说,“未来几个月随着翘尾因素的回落,以及天气可能会逐渐走向平稳,CPI应该也会保持一个平稳的态势,应该不会出现价格大幅度上升的状况。”

相比于居民消费价格,工业品价格回升更为明显。8月份,全国工业生产者出厂价格指数(PPI)同比上涨6.3%,涨幅比上月扩大0.8个百分点。钢铁、有色等行业产品价格是推升PPI的主力。不过,国务院发展研究中心宏观经济研究室主任张立群分析,上游工业原材料产能过剩的局面没有根本改变,价格信号很容易激发生产潜力,因此原材料价格无法快速上涨,PPI也没有快速攀升的动力。

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