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行情在犹豫中上涨
2017-09-08 07:01:58 中国青年网
问:周四沪指低开,盘中低位震荡,尾盘走弱,你怎么看?
答:受资源股及金融股的拖累,市场整体呈现逐波走低态势,但次新股指数表现颇佳,盘中最大涨幅近2%,不过尾盘均被大盘拖累涨幅收窄。截至收盘,两市涨停41只,无一只跌停。技术上看,沪指收盘失守5日、10日均线,但深成指及创业板指依然守住5日均线,特别是成交也出现明显分化,沪市成交环比变化不大,深市成交环比放大近一成,而创业板成交更是创出近期天量,这足以说明近期市场依然是炒新及超跌反弹为主;60分钟图显示,各股指均失守5小时均线,而之前较强的深成指和创业板指收盘均出现60分钟MACD指标死叉的现象,那么是否标志着短期调整周期来临呢?从笔者的技术形态模型来看,后市仍有一波反弹才会进入来回拉锯震荡期。期指市场,各合约累计成交、持仓均略增,各期指合约负溢价水平整体略有缩减,持仓数据显示,各期指主力合约空头主力减仓力度连续两日明显强于多头主力。综合来看,近期虽然看空的有些增加,但并不足以动摇本次上升行情,俗话说“行情总是在犹豫中上涨”,种种迹象表明,在增量资金的积极入市下,成交依然是检验市场的唯一途径。
周五操作计划:龙蟒佰利、维格娜丝、南山控股、启迪桑德、广东鸿图、昊华能源、东方园林拟持股待涨。
胡佳杰
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