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北京首套房贷利率基准仍是主流 未来可能持续上调

2017-08-14 01:53:04   新京报

昨日,多家银行向新京报记者证实,目前北京大多数银行首套房贷利率仍执行基准利率,但不排除未来上调的可能性。民生银行自6月初执行首套房贷利率上浮10%之后,昨日,民生银行表示,目前仍维持该利率不变。

史上最严的“认房认贷又认离”3.17新政之后,北京楼市无论房屋均价还是个人住房信贷总额“双降”。6月北京房价中位数已经跌破6万元/平方米。同时,相关数据显示,6月北京市商品房成交套数比3月下降36.9%。

8月3日,北京市银监局在第122场银行业例行发布会上披露,“3·17新政”实施以来,北京市个人住房贷款发放金额持续回落,6月份又创新低。6月全市银行业金融机构发放个人住房贷款158.46亿元,较3月份239.21亿元减少80.75亿元,下降33.75%,创“3·17新政”以来新低。

北京银监局副局长蒋平表示,北京银行业严格执行各项新政,个人住房贷款投放符合政策导向,政策调控成效显著。“下一阶段,北京银监局将继续督导辖内银行业机构严格落实北京市各项房地产调控政策,持续开展房地产相关业务专项检查,加大监管执法力度”。

据北京银监局统计,今年3月至6月,个人住房贷款新发放金额分别为239.21亿元、236.08亿元、218.15亿元和158.46亿元。二季度辖内银行机构发放的3.17个人住房贷款中,支持“刚需”群体购房的贷款占比超过7成,其中6月对无房群体群体贷款金额占比83.11%,贷款户数占比81.17%,两项占比环比明显提高。

新房放贷速度快于二手房专家称对刚需是“利好”

易居研究院智库中心研究总监严跃进认为,包括北京、上海在内的全国多地首套房贷利率上浮,二套房贷利率提高,这是很强的一个很强的信号,商业银行信贷政策继续从严。

“最近整个房地产市场流动性不足,会倒逼银行信贷政策做出调整”。严跃进说,不过,对于购房者来说,一方面增加了信贷成本,另一方面却是一种“利好”。目前我国长期贷款的基准利率为4.9%,处于历史上比较低的水平,即便上浮10%,虽然增加了信贷成本,但是,每个月多还上百元的资金也比较有限。

当前全国房贷利率即五年期以上的贷款利率为4.9%,该利率是在2015年10月24日央行降息以后形成的。在此之前的2012年7月,经央行调整利息后的5年期以上贷款利率为6.55%,该利率一直执行至2014年11月24日,更早前我国长期贷款利率长期处于“6”时代。

严跃进认为,两相对比,目前的利率已经处于较低水平。在这样一个较低的基准利率水平下,如果银行按照1.1倍基准利率计算,实际的贷款利率在5.4%。这个利率相当于2015年6月28日央行降息后形成的利率。仍低于过去曾出现的五年期以上贷款利率6%以上的水平。

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