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声称"尽量不用战争"的少将不简单!曾预见9·11事件

2017-09-05 13:00:05   观海解局

预见9·11事件

1999年,乔良与国际问题专家、北京航空航天大学战略问题研究中心主任王湘穗合著的军事理论著作《超限战》一书出版,竟惊动了美国五角大楼。因准确预见9·11事件,该书被《华盛顿邮报》誉为40年来中国人在西方影响最大的一部书,也被西点军校列为必读书及美海军学院教材。

9·11事件发生的第二天,美国五角大楼的一位三星将军公开说,“两年前中国有两位大校军官写了一本书,叫《超限战》,当时我们已经翻译了,但却并没有引起足够的重视,现在他们所预言的事情已经在我们眼前发生了,看来有必要回过头去重新研究这本书。”在《超限战》这本书中提到本·拉登的地方有七八处之多,另有两处提到了世贸大厦。

(王湘穗)

“《超限战》的出版,是我研究军事理论的开端。”乔良说道,“写这部书的原因是这样的,1996年的台海演习,我奉命去空军演习指挥部撰写演习解说词。时任某航空兵师副政委的王湘穗也带兵参加了演习,我跟他不期而遇,决定写一部书来探讨中国如何有效地应对更加复杂的国际局面。于是,写了改,改了写,光是书稿提纲就修改了44稿,这一写就是半年。

记者注意到,此书序言引用了司马穰苴的“故国虽大,好战必亡;天下虽安,忘战必危”。对于这句话,乔良曾在接受采访时解释:前句是说给美国人听的,美国人对东方智慧不了解,他以为大国就能胁迫他人。但我要告诉他“好战必亡”,你美国太好战不会是什么好事情。而“忘战必危”则是写给中国。

被称为“鹰派第一人”

“我已经到了耳顺(60岁,编者注)的年纪,却没有耳顺的功力。”乔良曾公开表示。如今的他,做事风格不喜极端,但却追求“语不惊人死不休”;面对危险之事,依然有着“我不能退”的本能反应;遇到不平之事,常常“拔刀相助”,只因“我不会是一个淡然的观望者”。也因此,乔良被称为“中国鹰派第一人”。

对此,乔良反问道:什么是鹰派?他认为,鹰派就是坚定的国家利益派。但坚定不等于无条件甚至没来由的强硬。因为当强硬有可能损害国家利益时,鹰派的立场是选择理性,而不是坚持选择强硬。

所以,鹰派的坚定和强硬,必须以国家利益为指归。那些以为只有强硬才是捍卫国家利益的不二法门的人,也许根本就不知国家利益为何物。

对于一些国家挖坑让“血气方刚”的中国人往里跳,一些国人只想“英勇就义”式地壮烈一回去“爱我的国”,乔良说道:“如果这就算鹰派,那我想告诉大家,我不是这种鹰派,我是理性派。如果我是鹰,首先是因为我有鹰眼,而不是徒有一张鹰嘴。”

有人说,你连硬话、狠话都不敢说,算什么“鹰派”?乔良的回答是:“硬话狠话谁不会说?如果说些廉价的硬话狠话就能让那只看不见的黑手停止对‘我的国’的遏止与扼制,那我会天天在网上带领‘鹰嘴’们喊口号。”

(原标题:声称“尽量不用战争”,这名少将咋回事?)

责任编辑:高宗影 CN060
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