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台湾绿营提放宽"公投"门槛 迈出"法理台独"第一步

2016-05-17 07:51:09   环球网

事实上,大陆一直把民进党的相应“公投”视为“台独”的先行指标,“公投制宪”更是被列为最可能武力统一的时机之一。正因如此,当年制订“公投法”时,国亲阵营就联手提高提案与联署门槛,并排除领土、“宪法”的适应性,以降低可能的风险,避免不必要的危机。

当前的关键,还是蔡英文的态度,默许,踩刹车或者煽风点火?急独的力量,蔡英文可以不听,但不能不顾及他们的情绪。对岸的威慑,蔡英文可以反弹甚至抗议,但最终还是要权衡鸡蛋与石头的不同角色。赖士葆预测,蔡英文到最后可能会对该修正案的条文“踩刹车”或者做若干的再修正。

有媒体直言,如今,在大陆对蔡英文并不信任,两岸关系可能重陷“冷对抗”之际,民进党本应要求其党公职人员格外谨言慎行,然而民进党中央却纵容其“立委”提出这些可能更加刺激大陆反弹的法案,令人不得不怀疑,究竟是民进党中央没有政治智慧,还是故意跟“立委”唱双簧?

不管如何,如果把纳入“领土变更”的修正案作为与大陆讨价还价的本钱,一旦逾越雷池,“公投”就是个定时炸弹。民进党试图利用小聪明小步前进,不断向“公投”里塞进所谓民意的TNT,最终可能成为地动山摇的导火索,玩火不成,反噬自身。

在国际法上,“全民公投”有特定的适用范围和原则。它只适用于殖民地、托管地、非自治领地,以及原本就是独立的民族和国家,在涉及国家主权和领土变更等方面所进行的公民投票。一个地区的居民没有权利片面地宣布独立。

如果某直地区、未经中央政府和全体人民的批准,片面地宣布“独立”,那就会被视为企图分裂领土的叛乱分子,中央政府有权使用各种手段镇压叛乱。

文/东鲁虬髯客

责任编辑:李东舰 CN031
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