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众安在线赴港上市 金融科技价值几何

2017-09-26 07:33:02   中国经济网

众星捧月

金融科技的效果虽然仍待观察,星光熠熠的股东团队已经足够为众安在线在港IPO增加卖点。

众安在线全球发售材料显示,公司于2013年10月注册成立,由九名股东创立,即蚂蚁金服(前称浙江阿里巴巴电子商务有限公司)、腾讯计算机系统、平安保险、深圳市加德信投资有限公司、优孚控股有限公司、深圳日讯网络科技股份有限公司、上海远强投资有限公司、北京携程国际旅行社有限公司和深圳市日讯互联网有限公司。众安在线为中国首家取得保险公司法人许可证的互联网公司,也是四家纯互联网保险公司之一。

在上市前,蚂蚁金服、腾讯和中国平安分别拥有众安在线16.04%、12.09%和12.09%股权。欧亚平家族是公司的最大股东,持有17.81%股权。

不仅有明星股东团队,这次发行1.99亿股新股(占扩大后股本的13.84%)中,日本软银已经认购7,190万股,相当于扩大后股本的4.99%,成为其基石投资人。但这似乎并未减少投资者的顾虑。

众安在线2014年、2015年、2016年的净利润分別为人民币3700万元、4400万元和940万元,同期的承保亏损为人民币6150万元、5.116亿元和1.531亿元,综合成本率分别为108.6%、126.6%和104.7%。截至2017年3月31日,今年前三个月众安在线亏损净额为人民币2.021亿元,预计2017年财年仍将亏损。

香港群益证券认为,今年三个月众安在线的综合成本率为123.1%,而2016年同期则为112.3%,反映公司一直处于承保亏损的状态。就传统财险而言,综合成本率介乎95%至98%之间,其中赔付成本约占6成、销售费用占约4成。但众安在线目前的销售费用占逾6成,这意味公司还未实现在线保险业务的效益。在理论上,在线保险业务的优势在于,其业务结构可省下经纪佣金及其他服务费成本等,从中获得最大好处。或许,由于众安在线处于投资初期,目前其费用率之高与在线业务旨在降低经纪成本的本意互相违背是可以理解。但公司在这方面仍需要较长时间磨合,从而作出针对性的改善。

“我们只会建议投资者作投机性认购,如果股价能够回落两至三成才考虑作长期部署。”群益证券称。

高估值逻辑何在

某第三方保险公司的调查显示,3000多保险行业人士参与的投票,66%认为众安高估了,但也有34%的认为合理。

“既然34%认为合理的,能卖出这个价格自然就有道理了。反过来说,这么高的估值都有投资人买,至少在实践上是经受了检验了。”最惠保创始人陈文志说。

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