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根据易居房地产研究院统计,2017年3月以来,全国短期消费贷款同比走势大幅攀升,新增异常短期消费贷款金额约3700亿元,估计其中至少有3000亿流向楼市。目前,控制过度“加杠杆”,对消费贷款迅速踩刹车已经是大势所趋。最近,深圳等多座城市对消费贷进行严控,除缩短消费贷年限外,还要求金融机构不得发放无指定用途消费贷款,不得以化整为零方式规避受托支付和用途管控,严禁消费贷流入楼市。
不过,记者以准备购房但首付款不够为由向一些房产中介咨询时,有房产中介向记者介绍了一种“曲线借钱”的方式:可以先通过熟人借钱垫付首付款,再以装修的名义办理消费贷,以此补回首付款的“缺口”。
上海易居房地产研究院研究员王梦雯表示,这些违规资金帮助购房者加杠杆,助长了不合理的需求,一旦出现购房者无力还贷的情况,会导致银行金融系统出现危机。另一方面,资金脱实向虚也会放大经济的系统性风险。
其实,近几个月来全国各地似乎将更多精力放在租赁政策带来的影响之上。相比调控,住房租赁发展的影响相对缓慢,但持久,也有可能带来住房体系的质的改变。深圳房地产中介协会研究总监徐枫认为,租赁市场是一个初始化的阶段,应该说在未来的2到3年之内应该会有翻天覆地的变化。
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