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央广《王冠红人馆》财经报告:德国大选渐入佳境,默克尔连任胜算几何?

2017-09-13 17:21:29   央广网

慕尼黑《水星报》评价说,在这个不确定性越来越强的世界上,人们至少知道默克尔能做到什么。而德国《南德意志报》社论称,"默克尔让大家看到了一位属于世界舞台的政府首脑;而舒尔茨更像是个邻居朋友,或是在酒吧里与选民交谈的候选人,他缺乏权力意识"。

《爱尔兰时报》对默克尔这样评价:"从最初的呆滞笨拙,到似乎一切都在掌握之中。"

美国《波士顿环球报》刊文称,当美国第一夫人梅拉尼娅在以色列走红毯猛地将特朗普伸过来的手拍开时,她闪现出特定的女性权力,但这是控制婚姻并受到压抑的权力。而默克尔拥有的是知道如何保持尊严和控制力的女性领导人的权力。作为一名拥有物理博士学位的科学家,默克尔超级聪明但也极不性感,以至于希拉里都比她更有女人味,但她拥有难得的品质与原则。

除了赞扬的声音,客观来讲,默克尔本次竞选受到的批评要比前三次多。一本由德国国家政策研究所撰写的新书《默克尔12年--德国的黑暗时间》总结了"默克尔时代"的错误政策;由《法兰克福汇报》资深记者普里克特撰写的新书《默克尔:一个批判的回顾》,目前登上德国权威的《明镜》周刊畅销书榜单前10名。

一场电视辩论看舒尔茨与默克尔的不同

作为默克尔的强劲竞选对手,马丁·舒尔茨同样受到广泛关注。舒尔茨1955年12月20日出生于德国西部城市埃施韦勒,曾任欧洲议会议长。现任德国社会民主党主席。1975年至1982年从事图书销售和书店管理工作,1987年至1998年担任德国维尔瑟伦市市长,1994年起担任欧洲议会议员,2009年当选欧洲议会社会民主党党团主席。

马丁·舒尔茨

当地时间9月3日,德国总理默克尔与竞选对手马丁·舒尔茨在柏林市郊新闻大厅展开大选前唯一一次电视辩论。在长达97分钟的电视辩论中,两人在四名主持人的主持下,就移民、土耳其问题、遣返、欧洲边界等问题表达了各自观点。 当天,四家全国性电视台同时在黄金时段播出,预估观众数量2000万。

在结束关于难民政策和融入问题的辩论后,双方转入诸如土耳其、朝鲜、美国总统特朗普等国际议题的讨论。舒尔茨要求对土耳其总统埃尔多安采取"强硬态度"。默克尔予以反驳:"德国不能简单地中断同土耳其断绝所有外交关系,而应保持对话"。此外,尽管两位候选人在反对美国总统特朗普上空前一致,然而当主持人问及默克尔与特朗普有何相同价值观时,默克尔并没有作出正面回答,而是引用了特朗普在气候变化及美国种族冲突上的态度,称自己与特朗普有着"显而易见的大差异",回答比较委婉。在谈及如何与特朗普打交道时,默克尔依然强调,应保持绝对话关系。而舒尔茨则完全不同,用了"特朗普将世界带到了危险边缘"、"是一个无原则的推特写手"等激烈词语,他甚至还建议德国应该寻求和加拿大、墨西哥以及美国国内反对特朗普的势力合作。随后在柴油丑闻、养老金、社会公正和国内安全等国内议题的辩论中,舒尔茨继续采取攻势。

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