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公募基金监管首提系统重要性 天弘基金或将肩负更大责任

2017-09-13 06:51:23   中国经济网

证监会发布《公开募集开放式证券投资基金流动性风险管理规定》中,有两处提及“系统重要性”的表述:“对于被认定为具有系统重要性的货币市场基金,由中国证监会会同中国人民银行另行制定专门的监管规则”;“对于被认定为具有系统重要性的货币市场基金的投资调整期限,由中国证监会另行设定。”一旦被定义为具有“系统重要性”的货币市场基金,余额宝及其管理人天弘基金将承担起更大的责任。

据业内人士分析,新规正式落地对货币基金的流动性风险管理提出了更高的要求,对于系统重要性的货币基金,本次新规的监管规则也留有进一步适度调整的空间。

天弘基金或将肩负更大责任“系统重要性”金融机构或产品的市场操作对其他投资者有着示范效应,常常是“羊群效应”的发起者,它们投资的取向、规模和结构等对市场走势变化有着至关重要的影响。

对天弘基金及余额宝而言,入选“系统重要性”名单,既是一种荣誉,表明其实力雄厚,影响大;也是一种责任,需要承担更为严格的监管指标,以降低其风险外溢效应。

在此之前的5月27日,天弘基金宣布个人持有余额宝的最高额度由100万元降为25万元,8月14日,又将这一额度下调至10万元。天弘基金表示,两次下调余额宝个人持有额度均是公司主动选择。

客观来看,鉴于余额宝与普通的货币基金的资金性质和客户群体有很大差别,其发生流动性风险的概率比较低。证监会副主席李超日前曾表示,新规出台的目的就是要管控货币基金可能的潜在的流动性隐患,但从单个机构来讲,问题不大,而且对投资的期限、品种等方面把控得好,流动性准备得充分。

业内人士亦持有同样观点,济安金信副总经理、基金评价中心主任王群航(博客,微博)此前曾表示,“大家最关心流动性风险,但是要考虑到是什么样的情况发生,才会促使3亿多的投资者集中赎回那区区二、三千元的零钱呢?这样的概率非常非常小。”

余额宝基金经理王登峰此前曾表示,余额宝的流动性管理一直非常稳健,从余额宝的申赎预测、资产配置、风险预警各个方面,天弘基金都做了多重保障。据了解,天弘基金和蚂蚁金服各有一个大数据分析团队,专门针对余额宝的流动性分析,可以提供未来一个月的申购赎回情况预测,预测准确率可达95%以上。

系统性重要货币基金的认定,以及专门的监管条例的出台,将有利于进一步提高此类货币基金产品的流动性风险、信用风险、估值风险及运营风险的应对能力,从这一角度而言,余额宝的未来发展或将更加健康。

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