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金价创近一年新高 最大黄金ETF一月增仓53吨

2017-09-07 09:46:57   中国经济网

国际金价走高,国内黄金的零售价格也不断进行上调,本月5日每克零售价相应上调8到10元不等。

年内高点或在1400美金附近

国际金价走出小牛行情,市场认为金价仍能再走高一程。“我认为黄金仍有上涨空间,今年的高点会在1400美元。理由有三个,第一下半年开始是黄金的需求旺季,特别是年底会是一年的销售旺季;第二则是美联储的态度相对谨慎,暂时还没看出超预期加息的打算,因此黄金出现重挫的概率大幅降低;更为重要的理由是地缘政治的影响,这两年地缘政治一直对黄金价格起到至关重要的指导,促使避险情绪上升,随而推升黄金价格。”广东黄金协会副会长、首席分析师朱志刚对21世纪经济报道记者表示。

不过朱志刚也表示,虽然中长线看多,但是短线仍要小心回调。“可能是走两步,回一步的螺旋上升的涨法,毕竟短线上冲得过猛,部分资金有落袋为安的需求;此外9月美联储加息的预期仍旧存在,可能在短线上对黄金形成冲击,但是我认为回调的幅度不会太大,1300美元附近会有一定的支撑。”

钜阵资本高级策略分析师郭伟文的观点则是:朝鲜局势恶化、地缘政治风险上升是近期推升黄金价格的核心因素。而目前从朝鲜、美、韩等国的表态和做法来看,朝鲜局势仍然存在很大的不确定性,未来矛盾很有可能继续激化,政治风险或将进一步刺激黄金走高,继续关注朝鲜局势的发展。

除了上述观点之外,也有分析师认为,各类虚拟货币近期受到严监管,价格暴跌,也让黄金的保值存储价值重回大众视线,“黄金为王”的地位再度确立,因此更多资金被驱赶到黄金市场,导致黄金价格猛涨。

星石投资策略师袁广平的观点较为谨慎,在接受21世纪经济报道记者采访时认为:“整体来说,近期黄金的表现属于超跌反弹,从目前各路的消息来看,黄金短线仍有一定的上涨空间。但是行情能够持续多久,空间有多大,还要走一步看一步。”

素有“商品大王”美誉的投资大师罗杰斯此前在接受21世纪经济报道记者采访时表示:目前金价并不便宜,虽然不断有各种消息刺激,黄金也走出了脉冲式的反弹行情,但是目前的价格并不是底部。

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