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起步股份产品三年七检不合格 经营现金流远低于净利润

2017-09-04 07:20:59   中国经济网

关于现金流量表。请发行人补充披露:(1)结合报告期业务规模变化,应收账款回款情况,信用政策合理性,说明报告期内经营活动产生的现金流远低于净利润甚至为负的的原因;(2)补充分析销售商品收到的现金和购买商品支付的现金和收入及成本的覆盖情况;(3)2013年现金及现金等价物增加额为负的原因。请保荐机构和会计师对以上情况进行核查并发表核查意见。

2013年-2015年和2016年上半年各期末,报告期内公司的存货主要为库存商品、在产品、原材料和委托加工物资。2013年-2015年和2016年上半年各期末,公司存货账面价值分别为16,702.88万元、17,843.99万元、13,818.87万元和15,207.98万元,占流动资产比例分别为38.09%、26.25%、14.64%和16.38%,其中库存商品占比较高。(1)请发行人补充披露报告期内存货占营业收入的比例情况,分析占比波动的原因、存货结构波动原因、存货规模是否与收入结构相符;(2)报告期发行人库存商品占比较高,请按照产品类型和三种采购方法对库存商品进行细分披露,分析结构及波动的合理性等。

  券商:合理价格区间13.50-15.75元

光大证券发布研报称,近年来,公司业绩保持高速增长,13~16年营收、净利复合增速分别为21%、56%。16年营收12.34亿、净利1.76亿,其中经销、线下直营、线上直营收入占比分别为93.74%、5.84%、0.43%,童鞋、童装分别为56%、36%。

儿童鞋服尚处成长期,未来在外延利好(第四次婴儿潮、二胎政策)、内涵动力(漏斗型家庭结构、优生优育等)推动下将以高个位数增长,对比发达国家人均儿童鞋服消费水平、长期看我国儿童鞋服行业仍有较大发展空间。童鞋童装竞争格局以本土品牌为主,集中度仍有待提升。其中童鞋专业性强,由本土专业品牌占据主导,格局较为稳定集中度缓慢提升;童装中专业品牌与延伸品牌平分秋色、巴拉巴拉龙头地位突出,行业集中仍有提升空间。二者比较,童装竞争较童鞋激烈,CR4、10均低于童鞋。

进行同业对比:依靠经销模式快速开店,公司目前收入规模、渠道数量、成长性已处同业较高水平,但电商体量、店效仍有提升空间。重经销模式使得公司较同业具有毛利率、销售费用率低,应收账款周转慢,存货周转优的特点。

盈利预测及估值:本次发行4700万股、募集3.20亿元投向营销网络与区域中心建设(含新建直营门店115家)等。预计17-19年EPS为0.45/0.53/0.60元。综合考虑公司3年CAGR17%、新股估值溢价、行业高景气度,给予17年30~35倍PE,对应合理价格区间13.50-15.75元/股。风险提示:终端消费疲软、天气异常、运营模式传统不适应行业未来变化。

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