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中广天择毛利率滑坡 去年现金流为负业绩揠苗助长?

2017-08-25 07:31:12   中国经济网

 西南证券:目标价格区间为27.3-40.9元

西南证券在研报中指出,中广天择公司视频内容制作以自主投资发行和受托制作两种方式开展,制作各类视频节目共计逾1.2万期,平均每日节目制作量超过6小时。公司以自主投资方式已经累计出品了二十余档日播、周播节目;以自主投资和受托制作方式出品了十余档大型季播类节目。公司制作的多档精品节目取得理想的收视率和广泛的社会影响力,作品在各类评奖中取得的荣誉不胜枚举。

以卫视和地面频道为基础,打造“节目联供网+电视剧联盟”。公司一直与多家卫视频道保持长期、稳定的业务合作关系,同时也积累了丰富的地面频道客户资源。截至2016年,公司的常规节目分别有360家时段销售客户和102家节目销售客户。公司自成立以来努力将节目实现长沙以外的跨地域销售和运营,搭建覆盖全国城市电视台范围的节目联供网和电视剧联盟。目前,节目联供网已经形成了以湖南为起点,连接全国30个省市自治区,北至内蒙古、吉林、南抵海南,西至新疆的全国节目供应网络。

体制内地面频道改革实践先锋,国有控股背景作保障。公司在地面频道这一重要群体中拥有着广泛的影响力和普遍认可的领先地位。电视节目方面,公司以网络化方式运营了多档常规节目,以本地化的节目内容和规模化的成本优势广泛覆盖了27省;电视剧方面,公司为地面频道选取和采购具有优秀收视效果的剧目并结合相关服务,在改善节目播出结构的同时显着提升了收视效果。此外,公司作为一家国有控股的视频内容制作机构,相较民营制作机构,在题材选择、价值导向等方面拥有显着优势。

西南证券预计,公司2017-2019年EPS分别为0.85元、1.12元、1.38元,归母净利润8517万元、11168万元、13791万元。公司主营业务包括节目销售与制作服务,故选择具有主营业务部分相同的华录百纳和光线传媒作为可比标的,可比标的2017年PE均值为32倍。作为体制内首家改制设立股份公司并开展上市运作的市场化机构,考虑公司的成长性,公司可享受估值溢价;预计2017年目标市值为27.3-40.9亿元,公司总股本1亿股,目标价格区间为27.3-40.9元。

 应收账款占比较高坏账计提比例低于行业均值

2012年至2016年,中广天择应收账款净额分别为4,421.35万元、5,715.00万元、3,404.18万元、5,004.16万元、10,727.55万元,占营业收入比例分别为23.14%、30.29%、17.68%、17.33%、23.69%。应收账款周转率分别为7.20、3.72、4.22、6.87、5.76。

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