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房地产调控“年中考”:一旦松绑,楼市或临压力

2017-07-13 09:17:09   

此外,限购等调控政策虽然缓解了房价过快上涨趋势,但也增强了人们“物以稀为贵”的上涨预期。

一位在沿海省份房管部门工作20多年的基层干部表示,限购本质是遏制需求,但也向投资者释放信号:越是稀缺紧俏的东西大家越追逐,价格就还要涨。反向预期之下,楼市限购反而成了房价上涨的预警器。

在“越限越涨”预期驱动下,购房者购房需求更加强烈。今年3月底,在环京地区,一楼盘开盘推出2000余套房源,却排了1万多个号。开盘时,购房者将售楼处挤得水泄不通,有人排不到号竟声称“买不到房就砸售楼处”。

在福州3月底开盘的鲁能公馆项目,两三百套房源引来几千人哄抢。一名地产业内人士说,当天现场有中介把买房资格炒到两万元,不找关系根本买不到房。

《瞭望》新闻周刊记者调研了解到,去年“9·30”进入调控周期以来,全国多个热门城市出台“认房又认贷”政策,这让不少人购房时从“首套房”变为“二套房”,购房首付款大幅上涨,购房者顿时面临巨大压力,导致交易无法进行。在一些专家看来,因楼市政策调整引发的交易纠纷该如何处置,目前尚无成熟法律支撑,“楼市新政”是否为“不可抗力因素”的问题还存在争议。

不仅购房需求强烈,房企拿地需求同样旺盛。某东部沿海省份省会城市房管部门人士坦言,虽然采取系列调控政策,但房企拿地热情不减。“出让住宅用地都设定最高限价,但每次出让都顶到最高价,只能摇号产生竞得者”。

“拿了高价地可能会死,但没有地一定会死。”一位房企负责人坦言,现在一线城市土地供应有限,企业会不惜一切代价去抢地,也导致地价高企、“地王”频现。

供给侧改革迫切性凸显

《瞭望》新闻周刊记者调研了解到,此轮调控多地对新建住宅入市出台了限价的硬性指标,一些开发企业作出各种“花样”的针对性对策,客观上导致楼市短期供给不足。

南京市河西地区是南京优质房地产项目较为集中的地区之一。《瞭望》新闻周刊记者走进河西地区多个楼盘发现,该区房地产项目要么无房可卖,要么统一售价——每平方米45000元,此系政府对该区设定的统一指导价格。

本刊记者了解到,开发企业对此有不同意见。一些实力较强、能挺住的企业则调整营销策略、改持观望态度,按兵不动“豪赌”政策松绑的时刻。福州某楼盘项目的备案价是每平方米16000元,年初一直以23000左右的价格销售。被房管部门批评后,项目干脆捂盘,放着一些房源不卖。一位房企负责人坦言,政府“限价令”让开发商“很难受”:有些地产项目拿地成本,加上金融、建安成本,单价已经超过目前政府限价。

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