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财经观察:卡塔尔断交风波冲击相关各方经济

2017-07-06 18:33:46   新华社

据埃及相关部门透露,卡塔尔在埃及石油、基建等领域的投资超过50亿美元,2016年双边贸易额为3.25亿美元,其中埃及对卡塔尔出口额为2.82亿美元。目前,在卡塔尔的埃及公民人数达32万,他们是埃及侨汇收入的重要来源。在卡塔尔的埃及人对断交事件惶恐不已,担心被卡塔尔驱逐出境,而一旦遭到驱逐,不仅这些人生活无着,埃及的侨汇收入也将受到极大影响。

断交风波影响国际油价

目前国际能源市场依然供大于求。分析人士认为,随着卡塔尔大幅增产天然气决定的实施,国际油价必定会在低位徘徊。

卡塔尔4日宣布将大幅提高液化天然气产量,由目前的年产7700万吨提升至2024年的1亿吨,增幅接近30%。卡塔尔的这一突然举动,使油价反弹更加乏力。

在断交危机前,卡塔尔在原油日产量仅6万桶的情况下,同意将产量减少50%,以表示支持限产协议和与海湾国家团结一致的立场。断交危机爆发后,卡塔尔虽然没有放弃减产石油的承诺,但大幅提升天然气产量,实际是变相提高石油产量。

卡塔尔天然气储量位居世界第三,液化天然气出口雄踞全球首位,卡塔尔向全球提供了三分之一的天然气用量。分析人士认为,作为天然气生产大国的卡塔尔如此大幅度提高天然气产量,将对国际石油市场产生巨大冲击,使严重依赖石油出口的海湾国家,尤其是沙特蒙受重大损失。

以沙特为首的石油输出国组织(欧佩克)成员国2014年打响与竞争对手的价格战,使国际市场油价由每桶120美元急跌至不足40美元,各产油国损失惨重。据阿拉伯媒体披露,沙特因油价大跌每天平均损失8.5亿美元。

此间分析人士认为,此次断交风波影响深远,卡塔尔和沙特双方关系出现深深裂痕。未来,海湾国家在油价和其他经济问题上达成一致的难度加大。(新华社多哈7月5日电)

(责编:庄红韬、赵爽)

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