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银行房贷今年或全面量缩价升 京二套房利率达1.2倍
2017-06-07 09:35:05 经济参考报
数据还显示,北京31家银行中,广发银行和包商银行已暂停涉房贷款业务。
从宏观金融数据来看,在去年的激增之后,今年以来,银行房贷增速出现回落。央行数据显示,在4月新增贷款中,以个人按揭房贷为主的住户部门中长期贷款增加4441亿元,占全部新增贷款比重40.4%,较3月下降3.7个百分点。而今年前4个月,住户部门中长期贷款累计占全部新增贷款的35.8%,较上年末回落9.1个百分点。
业内人士表示,银行房贷业务的全面收缩,一方面和宏观调控有关,另一方面也和银行自身的资产负债结构调整有关。从宏观政策方面来看,多地限购限贷政策的出台对购房需求产生一定抑制,另外,监管层对今年银行整体的新增房贷规模总量也有所把控。从银行方面来看,在流动性紧张、银行负债成本上升的情况下,银行发放住房按揭贷款的意愿也在下降。
实际上,在银行所有的信贷品种中,房贷由于其风险低、期限长的特点,一直以来都是银行眼中的“香饽饽”,但是这一情况在今年出现了一些变化。社科院金融研究所银行研究室主任曾刚在接受《经济参考报》记者采访时表示,银行间市场利率持续上行,抬升了银行整体的资金成本,在预期银行间利率仍将持续上行的情况下,银行将通过“拉长负债端期限、缩短资产端期限”的方式,锁定收益和减少风险。也就是说,在面对流动性不确定性的情况下,银行不愿意持有期限太长的资产,这将导致银行按揭贷款发放意愿下降,与此同时,银行会倾向于加快资产端重新定价的速度,对包括房贷在内的贷款进行利率调整也就在情理之中。“到今年二季度末,银行整体的贷款利率水平都会上移。”他说。
曾刚表示,今年,银行新增房贷业务将会出现规模萎缩、利率上行的情况。银行将更有意愿将信贷额度配置到议价能力更强的企业信贷领域以及一些期限更短的贷款业务上面去,用更高的利息收益来覆盖其风险成本。记者 张莫 梁倩 实习生 陈思宇 北京报道
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