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二季度经济
或延续增长惯性
今年一季度,我国经济增长6.9%,成为自2015年第四季度以来的最高季度增长,并超出市场预期。4月25日中央政治局会议对此作了充分肯定,认为一季度经济运行稳中向好、实现良好开局。
对于二季度的经济形势,证券时报专家委员会委员、国家统计局中国经济景气监测中心副主任潘建成表示,从未来经济走势看,二季度有望延续一季度增长的惯性,增速高于全年6.5%的预期目标,下半年经济下行压力可能会加大。
“近期供需两端走弱、价格下降,4月制造业和非制造的扩张势头都有放缓,我们维持一季度经济增速为年内高点、全年增长可能出现前高后低的判断。”刘学智表示。
中国社科院发布的蓝皮书预计,2017年中国经济增速在6.6%附近,初步能够实现预期的6.5%的增长目标,继续保持在中高速适当的增长空间,预测2017年一季度到四季度GDP增速分别是6.9%、6.7%、6.6%、6.5%。
国家发改委国际合作中心主任、研究员曹文炼指出,中国经济开始探底企稳,市场信心有所恢复,在一系列强有力的政策措施作用下,二季度经济继续保持微升态势的可能性较大。当前应加大对国外经济政策形势的跟踪分析,创新我国调控思路,培育新需求和新动能推进供给侧结构性改革,巩固经济向好势头。
(责编:王子侯、杨曦)
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