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国企混改或成市场新风口

2017-08-21 09:07:04   中国经济网

今年“两会”期间,国资委主任肖亚庆明确表示今年“混合所有制改革要进一步推动,数量上要扩大,层级上要提升,更要有深度的进一步拓展”。业内普遍认为,混合所有制改革将是新一轮国企改革的“突破口”,会被实质性加速推进。

对于混改,天风证券首席策略分析师徐彪指出,“对于真正有优质资产,但短期受困于机制、激励、销售、营销等问题而导致净资产收益率、净利率暂时低于民营企业的国企来说,混改对其提升是确定性的,看好四类具备核心资产的混改方向:一是建筑央企;二是天津混改中的医药集团;三是铁路和物流;四是军工(关注股权激励超预期的可能)。”

海通证券首席策略分析师荀玉根认为,国企改革2.0阶段从资产整合、各类激励进入股权结构调整阶段,以联通为代表,国企改革尤其混改有望再突破。他推荐的10大精选个股是:中国联通、中国石化、中煤能源、外运发展、中国巨石、中航机电、上海临港、百联股份、山西汾酒、星网锐捷。

国泰君安中小盘分析师孙金炬表示,在寻找国企改革资产注入机会的过程中,可从行业和公司两个层次来看。行业可重点关注第一批混改试点覆盖的七个行业:电力、石油、天然气、铁路、民航、电信、军工。其中,电力、军工、铁路的国企一直存在资产证券化率较低的问题,因此值得重点关注。从具体公司来看,需着重关注承诺有望在近期兑现的公司。判断依据主要基于两方面:一是给定的承诺期限是否临近,二是公司近期是否有相关实质性举措,有没有进入资产注入阶段的实质性信号,重点推荐东方能源,其他相关标的包括福能股份、中国动力等。

华泰证券建议关注七大重点领域混改,包括通信领域,最看好军工混改,建议关注“天北中东”组合:军工科研院所转制相关的航天晨光,军工资产整合关注中直股份,军工央企混改关注北化股份、长春一东;地方混改比较看好山西和天津两个板块。

部分机构已出现逢高减持

上周三晚间,中国联通发布了超预期的混改方案。受此利好消息刺激,上周四和周五央企改革概念股表现强劲。上周四,中船科技、洛阳玻璃、中国核建等涨停;上周五,泰山石油、铁龙物流、中国核建、北化股份等多只个股涨停。数据显示,央企改革板块上周共有8只个股资金净流入实现过亿元,其中海康威视流入3.55亿元、中国电建流入1.65亿元、大唐电信流入1.34亿元等。

不过,交易所龙虎榜数据却显示,多只大涨个股遭机构逢高减持。上周五盘后的龙虎榜数据显示,多家机构席位卖出当日大涨的央企改革概念股。其中,铁龙物流的卖出方中,两家机构席位合计卖出2262.87万元,占当日成交比例1.77%。泰山石油也被一家机构专用席位卖出2154.17万元,占当日成交额的3.06%。

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