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8日,美国能源信息署发表的报告下调2017年全球需求原油增速预期5万桶/日,预计同比增幅为142万桶/日,并维持2018年全球原油需求增速预期不变,预计同比增幅为161万桶/日。报告上调了美国2017年原油产出增速预期至50万桶/日,之前料增46万桶/日,下调2018年增速预期至56万桶/日,之前料增57万桶/日。同时,上调美国2017年原油需求增速预期至34万桶/日,之前料增31万桶/日,并下调2018年增速预期至33万桶/日,之前料增36万桶/日。美国能源信息署同时下调2017年WTI原油价格预期至48.88美元/桶,低于之前预计的49.58美元/桶。
截至7月28日当周,美国石油产量达到943万桶/日,为2015年8月以来最高,较去年6月的最低水平高出12%。摩根士丹利在一份公告中称,预计第四季度美国石油产量将同比增加90万桶/日,高于之前预估的86万桶/日。
由于投资者担心欧佩克和美国石油产量增长,国际原油价格出现回落。加上利比亚国家石油公司(NOC)称,Sharara油田产量恢复到正常水平,致使油价未能继续受到支持。尽管API原油库存发布后,WTI原油期货一度上扬,但此后又重新回落。
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