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理性看待当前货币政策
2017-08-09 07:13:24 中国经济网
当前,我国货币政策仍然保持稳健。稳健意味着既不能太松,也不能太紧。在此时“大水漫灌”,会加剧经济结构扭曲,导致物价、资产价格过快上涨,加大汇率贬值压力等;如果大幅收紧,将不利于达成稳增长的目标,容易加大经济下行压力。
稳健也并不意味着一成不变。正如央行有关负责人所说,货币政策会根据形势变化预调微调、灵活把握,其侧重点在不同时段和不同条件下有所不同。在经济过热的时候及时“踩踩刹车”,存在过快下行风险的时候适当“加加油门”,这正是总需求逆周期管理的应有之义。
当前,要把主动防范化解系统性金融风险放在更加重要的位置,防范金融高杠杆带来的风险、抑制资产价格泡沫更为紧迫。同时,货币政策还需要平衡好稳增长、调结构、去杠杆、抑泡沫和防风险之间的关系。因此,稳健的货币政策也在进行预调微调,当前,其力度从稳健略偏宽松调整到更加中性的区间,但货币政策的基调没有改变,都在稳健货币政策的范围之内。
接下来,稳健中性仍将是我国货币政策的主基调,货币信贷仍将适度增长,流动性也将保持基本稳定,促进经济金融良性循环、健康发展。(陈果静)
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