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德国大选之后 默克尔组阁不易执政更难

2017-09-27 08:36:53   

分析认为,随着联盟党在大选后执政地位弱化,而极右翼“选择党”异军突起且咄咄逼人,默克尔联合政府在严格控制难民入境、加快遣返非法难民、严厉打击违法难民等一系列难民政策上,料将进一步转向保守。欧洲政策中心研究部主任艾曼努伊里迪斯指出,在德国国内的相对困难处境,也将影响到默克尔在欧盟层面的领导地位。

在对于欧盟一体化至关重要的欧元区改革问题上,德国大选结果将带来较大负面影响。极可能参与联合政府的德国自民党,一直坚决反对建立欧盟转移支付联盟和欧元区统一预算,因此,新一届德国政府将很难支持法国总统马克龙提出的雄心勃勃的欧元区改革计划。

在英国脱欧问题上,大选之后的德国应该不会软化立场。欧洲政策中心首席执行官祖里格表示,德国大选不会令英国脱欧谈判变得更加容易。因为,默克尔领导下的新一届德国政府,必须表现出与其他欧盟27国团结一致的坚定态度,并释放出明确信号:脱离欧盟不会得到好处。

关于备受瞩目的法德轴心问题,欧洲政策中心资深政策分析师拉波尔德认为,随着默克尔在此次大选后执政地位的相对弱化,以及法国总统马克龙国内支持率的下滑,法德联手推动欧盟改革的雄心和力量将受到制约。除非他们作出重大妥协,否则将举步维艰。(记者 鞠辉)

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