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安倍宣布为“突破国难”提前大选 被指企图“锁定”长期执政地位

2017-09-26 07:31:54   新华网

日本《朝日新闻》称,如果安倍领导的自民党再次赢得此次众院选举,将是他自2012年底以来第五次赢得国政选举。安倍此时解散众院,是因为民进党内部动荡,各在野党民意支持率低下,且联合行动迟缓,新兴政治团体尚未积累足够力量成为挑战者。另据日本共同社23日、24日进行的全国电话舆论调查显示,27.0%的受访者将在众院比例代表选举中投票给自民党,8.0%将投给民进党,6.2%将投给东京都知事小池百合子及其亲信等组建的新党。自民党领先优势明显。但同时也有42.2%的受访者表示“尚未决定(投票给谁)”。同时,64.3%的受访者反对安倍现在解散众院。78.8%的人表示无法接受政府在森友学园、加计学园等问题上到目前为止的解释,大幅高于可以接受者的13.8%。

有分析人士认为,此次安倍解散众院提前大选,是在森友学园“低价购地门”、加计学园“亲友办学门”等一系列丑闻后,对安倍及自民党执政基础的一次公开考验。安倍企图充分利用在野党势弱难获民意信任之机,通过大选一举“锁定”长期执政地位。为此安倍还抛出社会政策“红包”,并利用朝鲜问题大做文章,渲染危机气氛以呼吁选民支持自己“强力执政”。

也有日本舆论认为,从政治资源及固定的选票基本盘看,自民-公明执政集团优势较大,在野党短期内难以扭转形势。但此次安倍“突击”解散众院,表现出明显的政治投机倾向,让外界清楚地看到是“为了胜选而解散”,加上政权并未直面解释各种丑闻以消除民众不信任感,这将影响无明显倾向的中间阶层的投票态度,并给新兴政治势力以扩大影响力的机遇。【环球时报驻日本特约记者 孙秀萍 环球时报特约记者 穆北】

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