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分析称,美国对气候变化的表态较之前并无太大新意,只不过想谋求特朗普口中的“公平交易”条件。但由于《巴黎协定》是国际社会经过多年谈判达成的,成果来之不易。如果全盘答应特朗普政府的条件重新谈判,多年努力将付之东流。《巴黎协定》各缔约方难以接受美国提出的要求。各国领导人在本届联大将做何表示? 特朗普政府是否会被说服重新考虑退出的决定? 这将是一大看点。
此外,伊核协议也将面临严峻考验。特朗普和美国常驻联合国代表黑莉均试图把伊朗说成是“支持恐怖主义的国家”,并表示可能放弃伊核协议。以色列正在四处游说,以色列总理内塔尼亚胡也将在联大演讲中抨击伊核协议,向伊朗施压。伊朗总统鲁哈尼在动身参加联大会议前警告,如果美国就伊核协议做出错误决定,伊朗将采取强力措施应对。
一些国家已对特朗普政府对该协议的敌意表示担忧,担心在全世界都在努力应对朝鲜之际,放弃伊核协议可能会制造更多核不确定性。法国总统马克龙将在联大演讲中提及伊核协议的未来,欧洲领导人试图说服特朗普不要撕毁该协议。联大期间,同伊朗达成该协议的各方将举行会议讨论这一问题。
另外,朝鲜不顾联合国安理会的制裁,无视美国方面的动武威胁,连续发射导弹挑动国际社会的神经。据了解,朝鲜外相李勇浩将在联大一般性辩论上发表演讲。据报道,目前已经有墨西哥、秘鲁、科威特以及西班牙4个国家宣布驱逐朝鲜大使,以表达对朝鲜近期核导活动的反对和抗议。
毫无疑问,朝核问题是特朗普联大讲话的一大主题。特朗普是否会再次口不择言,与坐在联大会议厅第一排、相隔仅数米之遥的朝鲜代表互怼;而李勇浩将释放何种信号备受外界关注,如果李勇浩述说朝鲜开发核导的“正当性”而谋求“拥核国家”的地位,美国将如何回应,这些都将成为看点。(记者 袁博)
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