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媒体:是谁挡住了老百姓的涨薪路

2016-11-20 09:36:44   中国搜索网

表2的3条线则更加明显,1996年到2004年的19年间,城乡居民收入在增速在大部分时候都没有跑赢一般公共预算收入增速。

表1

表2 数据来源:中国统计年鉴2015

看完是不是明白了什么?

国家要集中力量办大事可以理解,但发展经济说到底是为了改善民生,增加百姓福祉,既然国民经济的蛋糕越做越大,为什么只给财政多分,却不能给老百姓多分些?二者无论从比重还是增速来看,差距都如此之大,难免有与民夺利之嫌。可是想真的改革固有分配机制,涉及各方错综复杂的利益,比涨工资本身还要难得多。

把工资水平保持在较低水平恐怕还有另一层考虑。当初为了加速原始积累,劳动力被人为压低,形成了中国在国际市场中的竞争优势。为了继续保持这种优势,或者不让优势太快消失,工资也不能涨得太快。甚至有一些人主张,经济迈向新常态,需进一步压低劳动力成本才能避免中等收入陷阱。相关部门决策时是否受此影响,还真是不好说。

对于企业来说,当然也有难处,涨工资这件事,根本不是给员工工资卡上多打些钱就完事了,背后的隐性成本也要随之提高。按目前的社保费率计算,企业单在员工的五险一金缴费费率就超过35%。给员工每多涨点工资,就要多缴纳一大笔社保费。

想提振消费,没钱你怎么花?

也有人要问,说工资涨得慢,为什么这几年消费还这么火爆,甚至成为拉动经济增长传统“三驾马车”中硕果仅存的一辆?这个双十一大家不还在疯狂剁手吗?

岛妹觉得,双十一的火爆,既有商家制造出的需求刺激,也因为一些力度较大的折扣优惠,使平时惜购的需求集中爆发。

至于消费火爆,其实也不尽然,看看下图中的社会消费品零售总额增速便一目了然。更重要的是,这一增速与城镇非私营单位就业人员年均工资增速趋势几乎吻合,呈现了很高的相关性,可以说,工资增速的下降,已经对消费造成了明显的影响。

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