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英媒:朝鲜发展核武器可能迫使美国回到谈判桌

2016-09-12 10:43:00   中华网

朝鲜在国庆节当天完成了其第五次核试验,这一举动与国际社会所呼吁的背道而驰,令人们感到惊讶。朝鲜对核武器的执着由来已久,在经历了各种波折和反复以后,慢慢的开始尝到甜头。朝鲜也一向有明确的想法,那就是利用核武器作为其筹码与美国谈判。据英国《卫报》9月9日报道,专家称,朝鲜的军事野心比想象中的更深远,而且美国可能别无选择只能和他讨价还价,现编译如下:

朝鲜的第五次核试验证实了国际社会日益增长的担忧和其政权的核愿望比想象中的更强烈,金正恩正在建立一个庞大的兵工厂用来在其政权受到严重威胁时抵御外敌。

直到两年前,对于朝鲜核试验的传统认知是:它在很大程度上是一个代表国家实力的政治象征,同时也是一个可以为本国经济和外交利益讨价还价的筹码。

然而自2014年以来,核导弹试验的步伐加快,一些专家认为,朝鲜科学家已经开发了一种足够小的、可以放在导弹上的核弹头。

“现在朝鲜很有可能在其短程或中程导弹上安装核弹头,射程可以达到韩国、日本和美国在该区域的军事基地,”军控协会不扩散政策主任凯尔西达文波特说。然而,她认为朝鲜还需要十年才能开发研制出射程能到美国的可靠的洲际弹道导弹。

周五的核试验,是继8月发射的一个二级、固体燃料的潜射导弹,也是在周一试射三个新型射程为一千公里的全铝质飞毛脚导弹取得一系列导弹突破后进行的。

“所有这些活动,目的在于扩大朝鲜的核武库规模和扩大其发射选项”达文波特说。“朝鲜正在采取措施提高其导弹质量,使用固体燃料使导弹能够快速部署、射程更远。这预示着一个日益增长的朝鲜核威胁,下一届美国政府将不得不优先应对这个威胁。”

蒙特雷国际研究学院东亚防扩散计划主任杰弗里·刘易斯表示,尽管朝鲜声称其2016年1月最后一次试射是试验性的,但周五的核试验显然是可用于导弹发射的核弹头爆炸试验。

“我不认为我们已经了解他们的战略。朝鲜是为了阻止和击退入侵。金正恩是不会像萨达姆和卡扎菲那样毫无防备地等着我们的到来。”

“他们正在计划利用核武器来阻止我们在该地区军事部署。他们将突袭美军士兵聚集的港口,认为我们会受震惊而停止(在该地区的军事部署)。”

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