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原标题:韩国防部发布白皮书:朝鲜潜射导弹部署趋于明朗化
[环球时报特约记者 金惠真 环球时报驻韩国特约记者 王伟]据韩国《东亚日报》21日报道,韩国国防部将于本月底发布的《2016年国防白皮书》中,保留“朝鲜政府和朝鲜人民军是韩国敌人”的表述。据悉,白皮书中还包括“朝鲜潜射弹道导弹(SLBM)的实战部署趋于明朗化”的内容。
韩国国防白皮书每两年发布一次,这是朴槿惠政府上台后的第二份国防白皮书。报道称,卢武铉政府时期发表的2004年度国防白皮书开始,韩方在文中删除了将朝鲜称为“主敌”的表述内容。而从2010年开始,国防白皮书再次使用“朝鲜政权和朝鲜人民军是我方的敌人”这一表述方式,沿用至今。分析称,这可能是因为朝鲜不断进行核、导弹开发,让韩国日渐感到军事威胁的加重,遂判断没必要改变对朝态度和认识。
如何表述朝鲜是否完成潜射导弹的战斗力化和核弹头小型化等核能力,将成为外界关注的焦点。2014年度的国防白皮书中首次使用了“朝鲜核弹头小型化能力达到了相当高的水平”和“朝鲜核武器”的表述。当时国防白皮书中还表示,朝鲜可能已拥有40千克武器级钚,并正在实施浓缩铀项目。韩军消息人士表示:“据我所知,2016年的国防白皮书中虽然包含了朝鲜潜射弹道导弹实战部署明朗化的内容,但在朝鲜核能力相关记述方面,内容与2014年版没有很大差异”。也就是说,今年的韩国国防白皮书中不会包括朝鲜已实现核弹头小型化、结束核导开发、完成实战部署等内容。但也有分析认为,朝鲜今年实施两次核试验并成功完成潜射导弹及远程导弹的发射,应看作实现了核弹头小型化的目标。
韩国KBS电视台21日称,韩国国家情报院下属机构国家安保战略研究院当天发布的《2017年朝鲜及安保形势展望报告》显示,朝鲜有可能在特朗普政府上台的2017年进行第6次核试验和发射弹道导弹,从而加大实战部署核武器的力度。届时,特朗普政府将向中国施压,并提出“先发制人打击论”。这将导致美朝严重对立,加剧朝鲜半岛紧张局势,从而导致“第三次朝核危机”爆发。
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