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中行报告预计三季度GDP增速同比持平

2017-09-29 07:37:51   

中国银行国际金融研究所28日发布的《2017年四季度经济金融展望报告》显示,三季度,受房地产收紧效果显现、“环保风暴”及季节性因素等影响,中国经济始于去年四季度的企稳回升动能有所减弱。预计三季度GDP增长6.7%左右,较上半年回落0.2个百分点,与上年同期持平;CPI上涨1.8%左右,同比小幅回升。

报告表示,展望四季度,中国经济具有保持平稳运行的基础。从外部环境看,世界主要经济体总体步入上行通道,全球经济总体稳健复苏。从国内看,“三去一降一补”深入实施,去库存效果显著,房地产投资等好于预期,去产能推动供需矛盾改善,工业品价格回升,政府也会更加重视落实降低实体经济成本,企业盈利总体延续改善趋势。新动能持续积蓄,新产业、新产品、新业态继续加快成长,有利于抵消传统产业调整带来的下行压力,提高经济运行的质量和稳定性。随着季节性因素的消退,四季度部分指标增速会较三季度有所恢复。

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