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工企利润累计增幅年内首现“上翘”企业杠杆率下降

2017-09-28 07:32:51   

每经记者 周程程 每经编辑 陈星

9月27日,国家统计局发布数据显示,2017年1~8月份,规模以上工业企业利润同比增长21.6%,增速比1~7月份加快0.4个百分点。

今年以来,工业企业利润累计增速从1~2月的31.5%开始逐月走低,1~7月21.2%的增速也成为截至目前年内的低点。而8月当月利润同比增长24%,增速比7月份加快7.5个百分点,使1~8月21.6%的增速与1~7月相比,在年内首次出现了向上“拐头”的走势。

在企业利润增速加快的同时,企业杠杆率也明显降低。8月末,规模以上工业企业资产负债率为55.7%,同比降低0.7个百分点,比7月份降低0.1个百分点。

企业利润同比增加

8月工业企业盈利提升主要来自于价格上涨与企业成本降低。

其中,企业成本方面,工业企业每百元主营业务收入中的成本为85.44元,同比减少0.64元,比7月份多减0.51元。

价格方面更是各方关注的焦点。数据显示,8月份,工业生产者出厂价格指数(PPI)比7月份上升0.8个百分点;而工业生产者购进价格指数比7月份上升0.7个百分点。据国家统计局初步测算,价格回升使企业利润同比增加约1273亿元,比7月份多增约406亿元,占新增利润的比重为31.2%。

海通证券宏观债券分析师姜超认为,8月工业利润上升,一定程度上源于环保限产下的供给收缩带来的工业品价格持续上涨。

工业品价格的上涨,使得行业利润增长较快。8月,化工、石油加工、石油开采、钢铁、电子等5个行业利润大幅改善,合计拉动工业利润增速7.1个百分点。其中,石油加工、炼焦和核燃料加工业利润同比增长更是高达103.4%,增速比7月份加快89个百分点。

以煤炭行业为例,今年以来,环渤海动力煤价格指数持续维持高位。2017年上半年,A股和B股37家煤炭上市公司中仅有2家亏损,而去年同期亏损企业高达14家,占煤炭上市公司比重达38%。

煤炭价格涨势也延续到9月。实际上,9月本是煤炭消费淡季,但是煤价却逆势上扬,表现出淡季不淡的特征。易煤研究院数据显示,9月20日,北方港5500大卡动力煤价已经达到720元~730元/吨,已经创下今年新高。

中泰证券分析认为,下半年动力煤均价预计超过上半年,将提振动力煤企业业绩。煤-焦-钢产业链上,由于盈利丰厚的钢厂开工率维持高位,对“双焦”需求旺盛,而受环保因素影响较大的焦炭库存较低,价格也有继续上涨动力,三季度相关公司业绩将实现环比提升。

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