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“长假效应”来袭 节前震荡仍是主旋律

2017-09-27 07:37:53   

本报记者 林珂

大盘在连跌三日后终于止跌。周二两市小幅低开后延续震荡走势,尾盘多方拉升股指最终红盘报收。截至收盘,沪指报收3343.58点,微涨 0.06%;深成指报收10950.77点,上涨0.18%;创业板指报收1839.46点,下跌0.23%,两市成交量出现一定程度萎缩。

周二值得关注的是前期持续调整的周期股开始集体反弹,而表现较强的次新股则剧烈分化。具体来看,周二10只跌停股均来自次新股阵营,同时有接近百股跌幅超过5%。中航证券分析指出,当下市场很难有某一个主流热点连续几个月持续走强,能维持一个月上涨的热点已属很牛。而本轮次新股行情自8月中旬开始以来已运行一个月,基本达到了阶段性热点周期的上限。而周末IPO金额又提升至60亿左右,周二次新股龙头中科信息再度跌停,这表明空头信号再度来临,投资者应注意风险。

随着十一长假的临近,A股市场通常都会有“长假效应”,也就是市场心态会偏向谨慎,交投活跃度可能下降。近期二级市场持续走弱,亦是“长假效应”的体现。海通证券表示,9月30日将公布9月官方PMI数据,要知道自8月宏观经济数据出现波动以后A股市场的整体表现是震荡加剧。也就是说目前市场基本面至上的状态没有改变,那么在9月经济数据明朗以前,市场缺乏大规模动作的可能性。

而从多位业内人士的观点来看,节前大盘持续震荡仍是主旋律。接受《金融投资报》记者采访的券商分析师表示:“沪指连续多日盘中出现跳水,但仍未能回补3331点缺口,下档支撑力度较强。而深成指在前期持续反弹后出现连续调整,20日均线告破后出现一定幅度反弹。整体来看,节前大盘持续缩量震荡,上下空间都十分有限。”

巨丰投顾认为,次新股跌停潮的出现意味着短期题材股炒作开始降温。而实际上中科信息的停牌、复牌和跌停就是次新股阶段性炒作结束的标志。对于大盘来说,近期回踩的同时一直在回补缺口的路上,但这条路走得实在有点慢。近期,明显能看到的是多方的护盘力量逐步加强,无论是金融股还是周期股,每到关键时刻总有神秘力量的出现。此外,证监会要求市场平稳运行,大盘短期下行空间或被封杀。因此,不必过于担心市场的回调,趁机低吸和加仓才是最好的选择。

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