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美国基金做空中国自吞苦果 年内累计亏损已达80%

2017-09-25 16:40:36   参考消息

参考消息网9月25日报道 美媒称,总部位于纽约的新兴主权集团旗下的Nexus Fund在8月份扩大亏损,今年累计亏损80%,成为该行业表现最差的对冲基金之一。

据彭博新闻社网站9月20日报道,彭博看到的投资者最新通讯,该基金8月份亏损8%,至少是2017年第7个月录得亏损。该基金看空中国经济。

Nexus和其他看空中国的基金录得亏损,源于人民币汇率触及2016年5月以来的最高水平。MSCI(摩根士丹利资本国际公司)中国指数今年1月至8月累计上涨约43%。

Nexus首席投资官凯文·肯尼对此不予置评。

报道称,同样做空中国的克雷斯卡特资本公司也出现亏损,其全球宏观基金虽然8月份上涨1.5%,但今年累计亏损13%。

【延伸阅读】中国央行挫败人民币做空者英媒:交易员看不懂汇率走势

参考消息网6月19日报道 英媒称,试图搞懂今年以来人民币汇率走势的外汇交易员让人同情。

在去年人民币创纪录地贬值6.5%之后,投资者在2017年伊始坚信人民币将继续下滑。许多人当时预计,人民币汇率将从2016年底的1美元兑6.95元人民币下降到1美元兑7.3元人民币左右。没料到人民币今年以来升值2.1%,尤其是自5月9日以来升值1.6%,本月15日收于1美元兑6.8元人民币。

据英国《金融时报》网站6月16日报道,从表面上看,这不太合逻辑。尽管中国仍拥有健康的贸易顺差,但资本账户下的流出仍然超过与贸易有关的流入。官方数据和来自交易员的非正式报告都显示,人民币供过于求。

根据国家外汇管理局的数据,从1月到4月,相较于可比的人民币买入量,银行代表公司和私人客户以及自身账户的外汇买入量每月平均要高出140亿美元。尽管每月购汇净额低于2016年的月均280亿美元,但这些数据似乎仍表明,从供需角度看,人民币汇率应该下降。

与此同时,截至5月底中国外汇储备连续4个月上升。这似乎表明中国人民银行不再出售美元以支持人民币。

那么,这究竟是怎么回事呢?

报道称,瑞银集团常驻香港的亚洲经济研究联席主管汪涛表示,中国去年出台的收紧资本管制的措施,已成功地将资本流出的洪流减慢至可控的涓流。她还指出,在外汇市场,市场预期的分量往往大于基本面因素。

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