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世贸组织大幅上调今年全球贸易增长预期至3.6%
2017-09-22 09:22:21 中国经济网
考虑到中国经济上半年的强劲增长对亚洲进出口贸易的拉动作用等因素,世界贸易组织21日将今年全球贸易增长预期由此前的2.4%大幅上调至3.6%。
世贸组织表示,今年上半年,得益于全球主要贸易大国尤其是中国经济的强劲增长,全球贸易同比增长4.2%。其中,发达经济体进口和出口同比分别增长2.1%和3.1%,发展中经济体进出口分别增长6.9%和5.9%。
从地区来看,今年上半年,亚洲地区贸易增长最为强劲,进出口同比分别增长8.9%和7.3%。世贸组织指出,亚洲地区金融环境改善并趋于稳定,提振了企业和消费者信心,也是该地区贸易增长的原因。北美地区贸易增速位居第二,上半年进出口同比分别增长3.9%和4.9%。
世贸组织总干事阿泽维多表示,全球贸易前景改善虽令人鼓舞,但世界经济面临的重要威胁依然存在并可能轻易破坏贸易复苏。这些威胁包括保护主义言论可能变成贸易限制行动、全球地缘政治紧张局势升级以及自然灾害带来的大规模经济损失等。
世贸组织同时预测,受发达经济体货币政策收紧等因素影响,2018年全球贸易增速或将放缓至3.2%左右。
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