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“明显探底的迹象已经可以得到认定,中国经济不会再往下走了。”全国政协委员、财政部财科所原所长贾康在近日举行的“第三届全球社会企业家生态论坛”上就2017年的中国宏观经济形势给出了自己的判断。
贾康称,从挖掘机指数、PMI的表现,与PPI、CPI、工业增加值、企业利润、用电量、货运量、房地产业、进出口、就业等多方面综合观察,中国经济运行中的亮点已日趋明显。“2017年一、二季度经济增速都是6.9%,下半年哪怕回调一点,我们也有充分信心实现今年经济运行落在今年政府工作报告提出的6.5%左右的上方。这样的速度是我们实现2020全面小康的保证速度。”
贾康认为,2017年,我们一定要抓住机会,乘势把新常态由“新”过渡到“常”,进入新状态。“我们要争取把现在已经形成的中高速增长平台长期化,把它从现在的6.5%这样一个偏高的增长速度,在保证增长质量的情况下,对接到一个未来五年、八年甚至十年以上的质量升级版的发展平台上。”
贾康还从六方面提出了今后的改革建议。第一,坚持在优化结构中以经济手段为主、市场优胜劣汰机制为主,去落后产能;第二,进一步利用有效投资的空间;第三,要继续鼓励创新,尊重科学规律,处理好发展中规范与规范中发展的关系;第四,要坚决贯彻中央经济工作会议和两会精神,继续给企业界吃定心丸;第五,房地产业健康发展,必须落实到土地制度的改革,双轨统筹的住房制度改革,相关的投融资税制改革,要敢于啃硬骨头;第六,放管服的减税让利要掌握好全景图。(金辉)
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