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两地上市银行股AH比价失衡:港股估值最低不足A股五折

2017-09-12 07:13:27   中国经济网

■本报记者 张 歆

如今“赴香港购物”,能够便宜买到的绝对不仅仅是金饰品或奢侈品,还有最低不足五折、最高不过九折的内资两地上市银行股。甚至于,投资者无需出境、不用代购,沪股通和港股通已经为投资者“网购”做好了准备。

同花顺数据显示,截至上周五收盘,9家两地上市银行股的A股估值较H股全面溢价(已考虑汇率转换因素),其中溢价率最高达到了52%。也就是说,同一家银行H股估值已经不足A股五折。

A股市场部分机构投资者显然已经发现了“比价天平”的严重失衡:今年8月份,百亿元量级的资金从沪市“南下”港股市场抄底内资银行股,工商银行、招商银行、中国银行等更是首当其冲地被纳入“购物清单”。

9家两地上市银行股

H股均未跑赢A股

彼时沪港通开通伊始,几乎所有的研报都分析称,AH两地上市银行股中绝大多数H股溢价的情况,将有助于A股银行进行估值修复,差价可能被抹平。然而超乎所有研报预期的是,沪港通落地不足一年时间后,两地上市银行股就经常陷入A股溢价、H股折价的境况,而且部分银行H股的折价率非常高。

同花顺数据显示,截至上周五,9家两地上市银行股的A股估值较H股全面溢价(已考虑汇率转换因素),其中溢价率最高的为中信银行,溢价率约52%;即使是两地比价最为接近的招商银行,溢价率也达到了11%。其余7家银行中,工商银行A股溢价率为20%、建设银行A股溢价率为23%、中国银行A股溢价率为24%、农业银行A股溢价率为25%、民生银行A股溢价率为27%、光大银行A股溢价率为32%、交通银行A股溢价率为33%。

事实上,内资银行股的AH比价并非一直如此集体严重失衡。截至去年年末,建设银行、工商银行、招商银行、农业银行的A股溢价均未超过10%,中国银行、交通银行、民生银行、光大银行的A股溢价率则分别在11%-23%之间。

从上述数据可以看出,招商银行目前沪港两地的估值最为接近,这或许其自身的定位有关。招商银行作为“老牌”股份制银行,其零售业务特色鲜明,市场形象和业绩稳定,且招商银行注册地在深圳,毗邻香港;此前又收购了香港的永隆银行,增加了香港市场的知名度和认可度。今年上半年,招商银行H股股价较去年年底上涨了55%,但是由于该行A股市场表现同样强劲,A股溢价率反而有小幅增加。

港股通抄底

大爱银行股

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