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央行重启28天逆回购 资金面延续宽松态势

2017-09-07 07:46:45   中国经济网

时隔两个半月,央行重启28天逆回购操作。9月6日,央行在公开市场开展400亿元逆回购操作,其中7天、28天期品种各200亿元,这是央行自6月20日以来首次开展28天期逆回购操作。当日同时有1600亿元逆回购到期,实现资金净回笼1200亿元。

市场人士指出,央行不仅恢复公开市场操作,而且超预期提前重启28天期逆回购,呵护流动性意图明显,有助于稳定季末资金面预期。总体而言,尽管后续资金面压力较大,但在央行“削峰填谷”的操作下,资金面大概率保持紧平衡态势。

重启28天逆回购

央行9月6日早间公告称,以利率招标方式开展了400亿元逆回购操作,其中7天期品种200亿元,28天期品种200亿元,中标利率分别为2.45%、2.75%,均持平于前期。鉴于当日还有1600亿元逆回购到期,单日实现资金净回笼1200亿元,为连续第六日净回笼,至此9月以来公开市场已累计净回笼资金3800亿元。

值得注意的是,央行此前已连续四日暂停公开市场操作,而此次除恢复公开市场操作外,这也是央行自6月20日以来首次开展28天期逆回购操作。业内人士认为,央行此次操作提前释放长期限的跨季资金,稳定季末资金面预期的意图明显。

九州证券点评称,目前,时间点上已然临近9月中旬,由于9月正好处于季末资金敏感时点,央行再次重启28天逆回购,期限上正好可供市场做跨季使用,以防止市场出现流动性过于紧张的局面出现,这反映出央行维稳市场资金面的态度明确。目前尽管短期1-7天资金面较为宽松,但市场对于未来资金预期仍然偏悲观,这是导致1个月及以上资金利率、同业存单利率、债市收益率居高不下的重要原因。此次央行重启28天逆回购,有助于稳定市场对于1个月及以上跨季资金的预期。

流动性预期趋稳

从市场表现看,银行间市场周三流动性不改宽松局面,除跨月资金成本仍居高外,短期资金供给充沛。据交易员透露,昨日早盘资金面呈现较为宽松态势,一早有大行融出隔夜到7天,城商行和非银机构加点融出。下午开盘7天价格逐渐下降到3.5%左右,附近位置继续成交。隔夜减点融出,资金继续呈现宽松态势。

昨日银行间质押式回购市场上(存款类机构),主要期限资金利率涨跌互现。其中隔夜加权利率下行约1BP至2.60%,14天加权利率下行约4BP至3.77%;指标7天加权利率则上行约5BP至2.81%,21天加权利率也上行约4BP至3.97%。

市场人士指出,央行本次启动28天期逆回购的时点较早,表明央行提前布局,以稳定季末资金波动;此外,周四到期的MLF(中期借贷便利)续做仍无太大悬念,料本月仍会选择一次性续做,规模与全月到期量差距不大。总体而言,市场流动性预期趋稳,预计资金面紧平衡格局将延续。

中信建投指出,考虑到当前监管进入到下半场,从货币政策围绕监管去杠杆的思路来看,央行仍有望继续维持当前紧平衡的思路。本周(9月2日至9月8日)有3700亿元逆回购到期,此外周四还有1695亿元MLF到期。短期来看,9月初资金面压力已有缓和,且月初逆回购到期压力不大,预计央行将继续降低公开市场融出力度。

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