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权重品种走势分化

2017-09-04 09:56:08   中国经济网

易盛农期指数延续小幅反弹之势,上周五收于1120.19点,而周一为1129.47点。

分品种看,白糖价格冲高回落。此前,商务部发布公告称,对配额外进口食糖征收保障措施关税。后期进口量将明显下降。此外,若国家不继续抛储,则糖市恐出现短缺问题。不过,国内进入增产周期,加之全球糖市步入熊市,郑糖长期走势并不乐观。

棉花价格偏强运行。国际方面,美元指数走弱,美棉走强,冲击70美分/磅的阻力位。国内方面,储备棉成交顺畅,连续数日100%成交,令郑棉表现坚挺。金九银十旺季到来,短期内郑棉将高位振荡,而中长期内,新棉集中上市将令价格承压。

菜粕、菜油呈现油强粕弱格局。菜粕方面,美豆丰产预期强烈,替代品豆粕供应无虞,导致市场看空菜粕后市。菜油方面,虽然全球油脂市场供大于求,但中秋节、国庆节临近,贸易商积极备货,提振菜油价格。

综上所述,权重品种表现差异化,白糖、菜油相对偏强,而棉花、菜粕偏弱运行。总体看,农产品价格触及技术压力位,短期内突破阻力位的可能性较大,而中长期内,作物收获使得供应放量,易盛农期指数将弱势振荡。

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