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地缘政治担忧依旧!未来三件事有望推升金价

2017-09-02 07:30:56   中国经济网

美国的节日季即将来临,而地缘政治的担忧让黄金投资者和买家游移不定,现在是否是增持黄金的时机,未来几个月可能影响金价的因素有哪些?

大宗商品专家认为,最近几次重大全球事件可能对金价走势产生深刻影响,黄金正处于历史上最动荡的时期之一。

未来三件事或让金价大涨

Paradigm商品顾问Biren Vakil表示,在未来的几个月里,我们可以看到黄金市场最不稳定的市场之一。

第一件事,朝鲜和美国在最近的导弹试射问题上的紧张关系,特朗普政府的应对方式将影响金价。

第二件事,美联储9月政策会议,可能会显示美联储对利率的立场。

第三件事,德国大选。德国总理默克尔被视为力量和欧洲一体化的象征。如果她输了,将给欧元和黄金带来压力。如果她赢了,那将利好欧元和黄金。

所有这些全球性事件都可能对黄金产生影响。如果它们中的任何一个与预期相反,黄金可能会急剧上涨。Vakil预计,全球市场的黄金价格将在1250-1380美元/盎司之间。

金价下一个阻力是1365美元

Geojit Comtrade研究主管Hareesh表示,周三金价上涨到1325.93美元/盎司的高点,表明主要的心理阻力水平已经被打破。这对买家来说是鼓舞人心的,下一个阻力是1365美元。

印度金银珠宝公司的Saurabh Gadgil也认为,黄金正处于动荡时期,目前存在全球不确定性,比如围绕朝鲜的紧张局势迫在眉睫。特朗普政府的任何一种反应都可能导致金价上涨。

Gadgil认为,黄金可能会保持强势,已经有关于黄金价格将触及1400美元/盎司的传言,金价可能会从目前的水平反弹,当然也取决于事态的发展。

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