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根据地承压 古井贡全国化前景待考

2017-09-04 09:41:08   中国经济网

营收和净利润增长均高达20%以上,却未说明原因,安徽古井贡酒(000596)股份有限公司(以下简称“古井贡酒”,000596.SZ)的双增长受到业内关注。

古井贡酒日前发布的2017年半年度报告显示,公司在上半年实现营收36.70亿元,同比增长20.53%;归属于上市公司股东的净利润为5.49亿元,同比增长27.34%。不过,古井贡酒并没有披露营收和净利润增长的原因,只是谈到其为实现增长采取的种种措施。

当下,中高端白酒市场回暖,白酒行业呈现挤压式增长。面对一线酒企渠道下沉,区域酒企面临的竞争更加激烈。在古井贡酒视为根据地的安徽市场,其既要应对茅台、洋河等一线酒企渠道下沉带来的市场竞争,又要与同省的口子窖(603589)、迎驾贡酒(603198)等区域白酒企业争夺市场份额。白酒营销专家蔡学飞认为,古井贡酒正处在调整期,未披露双增长原因或许和其当前面临的竞争态势有关。《中国经营报》记者就相关问题发去采访函,但截至发稿仍未收到回复。

业绩“双增”背后的“百亿”大考

通常情况下,白酒企业在财报中会披露营收和净利润增长的原因以及产品销售的情况。并且,在古井贡酒往年的年报中,大都披露了相关信息。不过,该公司日前发布的2017年半年报是个例外。在该财报中,古井贡酒并未公布公司营收和净利润增长的原因,也没有披露产品的销量情况。

“整个白酒行业的增长率不到10%,古井贡酒超10%的增长都是‘抢’那些县级酒厂的市场份额。”白酒专家肖竹青表示,从行业格局来看,中国白酒行业正处在一个深度调整期,即市场份额向品牌巨头和实力寡头聚集,古井贡酒强势增长的背后,是一批县级酒厂市场的萎缩。

在安徽酒企中,古井贡酒的销售收入占据头把交椅。数据显示,同为安徽省上市的酒企口子窖和迎驾贡酒,在2017年上半年营收分别为17.46亿元、15.64亿元,与古井贡酒的36.70亿元相差甚远。2016年,前两者营收分别为28.30亿元、30.38亿元,也远远低于古井贡酒60.17亿元的营收。

蔡学飞认为,古井贡酒面临激烈的外部竞争,一线酒企渠道下沉侵蚀着其市场份额,承压严重;其次,古井贡酒正处在一个调整期,或面临着库存量过大的问题。另外,可能和收购黄鹤楼酒业有关,后者签订了对赌协议,今年是第一个“大考”,而古井贡酒对其投入大量资源,信息披露可能会对古井贡酒的生产经营造成一定影响。不过,这一观点并未得到古井贡酒方面的证实。

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