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神华国电复牌后股价齐涨 煤电联姻第二对花落谁家

2017-09-04 07:11:03   中国经济网

■本报记者 李春莲

9月1日,因重大资产重组而停牌近三个月的中国神华和国电电力复牌,如市场所料,两公司双双涨停。

经报国务院批准,国电集团与神华集团合并重组为国家能源投资集团有限责任公司。

同时,中国神华将与国电电力共同注资666亿元成立合资公司,并注入两者的火电资产。其中,神华将注入15家火电公司和3家联营公司的权益,而国电电力将注入19家火电公司和3家联营公司。合资公司组建后,国电电力拥有合资公司控股权。

申万宏源分析师刘晓宁表示,当前神华煤炭内销比率大约30%左右,整合完成后内销比率有望提升到50%-60%,煤炭业务盈利稳定性进一步增强。

同时,国电未来有望借助神华渠道获得年度长协煤炭供应(当前年度合同煤价557元/吨,现货614元/吨,价差显著),降低成本且减少成本波动;可通过集团旗下运输资源与火电业务的协同降低成本;可实现装机大幅扩张,加强火电业务竞争力。由于煤电联营的诸多优势,国电电力未来有望成为A股稀缺的盈利稳定的火电标的。

神华和国电的合并,是首例央企煤电重组的案例,如此强强联合有望解决长期以来的煤电矛盾。

神华集团也表示,此次通过设立合资公司,对双方重合度较高的火电发电业务进行整合,有利于深化双方业务合作,形成长期稳定的煤炭供应关系,大幅提升神华与国电的煤电一体化程度,有效平抑煤炭和电力价格波动,形成国家能源投资集团的核心竞争力。

实际上,今年以来,有关部门多次强调要加强煤电一体化和煤电重组的力度。随着神华国电重组完成,接下来的煤电以及电企之间的重组都值得期待。

《证券日报》记者了解到,8月30日,华能集团与同煤集团签署战略合作框架协议。根据协议,双方将本着互惠互利、诚实信用的原则,加强煤矿项目合作,探讨煤电一体化、新能源开发、港口航运、金融、境外项目等领域的合作。

根据公开资料,截至2016年底,华能集团以10028亿元的总资产位列五大发电集团第一。截至2016年底,华能集团境内外全资及控股电厂装机容量达到1.6554亿千瓦。

华能集团是发电企业中火电装机最大的一家,在火电板块的整合中将发挥龙头企业作用。华能国际上半年实现的营业收入约为714.34亿元,同比增长11.36%;同期对应实现的归属净利润约为7.88亿元,同比下降89.88%。

半年报还称,公司利润下降的主要原因是燃料价格上涨。华能国际是华能集团旗下的A股上市公司,也是全国最大的上市发电公司。截至今年6月30日,华能国际拥有可控发电装机容量1.017亿千瓦,权益发电装机容量90796兆瓦。公司在境内电厂广泛分布在全国25个省市(自治区)。

此前,国电投和华能集团还传出过重组的“绯闻”。国电投董事长王炳华在第二十五届国际核工程大会上表示:“因为一些信息不是太好披露,还在推进当中。大家都有意在往一起想吧。”

对于潜在的中国电力行业重组大潮,王炳华还称:“大戏在后头,静观其变。”值得注意的是,受神华国电重组影响,截至9月1日收盘,煤炭板块集体大涨。除了中国神华,西山煤电、安泰集团也涨停,陕西黑猫和云煤能源接近涨停。

安信证券分析师衡昆表示,自6月5日神华停牌以来,煤炭板块(中信)累计上涨25%,神华港股累计上涨27%,作为低成本的动力煤龙头企业,神华复牌后存在补涨预期。

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