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“一带一路”提升人民币结算需求
2017-08-30 07:21:39 中国经济网
■本报见习记者 孟 珂
今年召开的全国金融工作会议指出,要深化人民币汇率形成机制改革,稳步推动人民币国际化,稳步实现资本项目可兑换。实际上,我国在人民币国际化方面一直在积极稳步推进。专家认为,目前主要国际货币波动显著加大,国际经济治理格局出现变化,直接扩大了对人民币的需求,有力推动了人民币国际化的进程。
民生银行首席研究员温彬昨日在接受《证券日报》记者采访时表示,人民币国际化对本次人民币升值起到了推动作用。一方面随着人民币国际化的推进,特别是“一带一路”建设的深入发展,有助于人民币在国际贸易中的计价结算中可以保持稳定的需求,对人民币汇率的构成也起到一个有力的支撑。另一方面,随着中国资本市场的进一步对外开放,近期的人民币资产收益率保持在基本平稳向好的态势,这有利于吸引国际资本进入国内资本市场进行投资。另外,对外开放的深入,也进一步改善了我国的跨境资本流动,使跨境资本流动趋于平衡,从而使人民币的贬值预期进一步消退,使人民币在我国经济基本面回升向好的大背景下,保持人民币对美元相对较强的态势。
中国银行总行战略发展部高级研究员周景彤昨日对《证券日报》记者表示,人民币国际化程度加深,使得跨境资本流动管理也在不断趋于完善。跨境资本流动管理趋严缓解了资本外流压力,是人民币汇率上行的政策性因素。
周景彤认为,去年年底以来,有关部门加强了对跨境资本流动的管理。一方面在现有的政策框架下,加强宏观审慎管理,加大对违法违规外汇行为的打击力度;另一方面加强对国内企业对外直接投资的规范治理,强调防范境外投资风险与境外投资真实性审核,使跨境资本流出规模有所缩减。今年前7个月我国非金融类对外直接投资为572亿美元,同比下降44.3%。今年以来,我国跨境资金流动形势持续好转,资本外流压力有所减轻,人民币市场在结售汇的供需方面逐渐趋于均衡,外汇储备规模也有所增加,有利于缓解外汇市场上美元供不应求的压力,从而助力人民币对美元升值。
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