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人民币升值 亚洲美元债基金业绩承压

2017-08-28 06:50:48   中国经济网

数据来源:Wind资讯姚波/制表

中国基金报记者 姚波

从去年开始,随着亚洲美元债市场快速扩张,相关投资基金迅速增多。不过,今年美元走弱,人民币升值,曾经火爆的亚洲美元债基金没有了汇率的助力,业绩出现下滑。

亚洲美元债火爆一时

通常,美元债面向的是美国投资者,去年开始,随着离岸美元的增多,越来越多的亚洲投资者开始涉猎美元债券,亚洲美元债市场获得迅速发展。预计在未来两三年时间里,亚洲的美元债市场将会增长到1万亿美元规模。

澳新银行数据显示,今年上半年,亚洲美元债的发行量达到1550亿美元,其中来自中国的发行数量占到了66%的份额。其中79%的美元债是由亚洲投资者所购买的。澳新银行预测,到2020年,亚洲美元债市场将突破万亿美元关口,届时中国在美元债市场中的份额还会持续增加,预计由目前的47%增至60%。

来自中国投资者对美元债的需求十分旺盛,投资额度较大的美元债投资者都有可能影响到这个市场。在公募基金市场,增加最多的就是亚洲美元债的投资基金。

据wind资讯统计,2016年以来,已经有12只投资美元债的基金成立,其中多数为专门投资亚洲美元债的产品。其他产品即使不是专属投资,亚洲美元债也是不少基金投资的重要部分。

预期美元升值,美元债基金成了2016年的一大投资热门品种。2016年上半年,美元债QDII受到市场欢迎,不少产品都是提前结束募集。去年最受内地投资者欢迎的互认基金为摩根亚洲债券基金,这只产品正是投资亚太地区债券的美元基金。去年,摩根亚洲债券基金大受欢迎,吸金量一度占到内地南下投资基金的九成。在该基金去年8月限购后,南下资金的规模也受到较大影响。直到现在,南下资金依然未能再次达到当时的月度流入量。

据外管局公布的香港基金境内发行销售资金汇出入情况显示,一年多以来,南下累计申购资金达到97亿元人民币;去年8月,创下了单月南下资金39亿元人民币的高峰。而今年7月,南下资金数额仅为3.14亿元。

美元贬值 相关基金业绩承压

汇率因素是影响投资亚洲美元债热情的重要因素。相对于去年美元的一路升值,今年美元一路向下,走势疲软。美元指数自去年11月底突破100点关口后便调头向下,该指数在7月中旬跌破95点关口,目前在92点左右徘徊,年内跌幅已有9.61%。美元兑人民币汇率也追随大势,累计下跌了4.33%,目前汇率在6.64附近,与去年末6.96的高位拉开了很大距离。

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