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次新股缘何屡遭爆炒

2017-08-28 07:37:05   中国经济网

以中科信息为代表的次新股最近在A股市场出尽了风头,曾在监管层严格监管之下一度归于平静的次新股,再度引发了诸多“投机者”的跟风炒作。而次新股近期再遭爆炒,背后的诸多问题值得反思。

次新股股价短期暴涨,确实放大了中签投资者的盈利空间,同时也让一些热衷于炒新的投资者赚得盆满钵满。不过,从长远的角度来看,次新股遭遇爆炒并不利于A股市场稳定、健康的发展。今年以来,监管层严厉打击市场恶意炒新的态度十分坚决,炒新市场也一度因此渐趋理性。在一段时间里,次新股上市后开板的价位更加趋于理性,次新股的整体估值也更加合理。

然而,以中科信息为代表的次新股暴涨行情,却让来之不易的变化遭遇“重创”,爆炒新股也出现了新的“苗头”。从某种意义上来讲,本轮次新股遭遇爆炒,很大程度上是受“总龙头”中科信息强势表现的影响和刺激。然而,在对中科信息的监管措施方面,监管层的“特停核查”似乎来得并不及时。在此前,不少次新股在尚未打开连续涨停期间就会遭遇“特停核查”,或者在连续两三个涨停之后也可能被监管层要求“停牌核查”。然而,中科信息却是在连续大涨11个交易日后才在午间被临时要求“停牌核查”。试想,如果监管层能更早要求中科信息进行“停牌核查”,中科信息在二级市场的走势很可能不会像此前那样火爆,次新股的爆炒行情也可能不会如此凶猛。

与此同时,本轮次新股遭遇爆炒的真正逻辑也值得市场投资者反思。此前监管层就曾有过表态,市场存在过大量资金集结恶意炒新的违法违规情形。那么,在本轮次新股的炒作过程中是否也可能存在着这样的情形?众所周知,次新股存在流通筹码分散、流通盘小以及受投资者关注度高等特征,很容易成为大资金的操纵标的。在近期的爆炒次新股行情中,监管层应该重点对参与买卖的主力资金进行核查。尤其要核查清楚各路游资之间是否存在“关联关系”,进而进一步搞清楚本轮次新股炒作的逻辑,是一种纯粹的市场化选择,还是一些主力资金凭借资金优势集合打的一场有预谋的“投资战役”?

从投资理念层面来看,次新股再度遭遇爆炒,说明A股市场仍有部分投资者热衷于“投机”。今年以来,在监管层鼓励、引导之下,A股市场投资者的投资理念已经发生了十分显著的变化。低估值蓝筹股“慢牛”走势的背后,代表的是越来越多投资者对价值投资理念的认可。然而,次新股的过度炒作却存在很大的“投机”成分,明显违背了监管层倡导的价值投资理念,也不利于A股市场的长期稳定发展。

需要注意的是,本轮次新股爆炒过后,还可能留下诸多的“后遗症”。诸如,在遭遇过度炒作之后,部分次新股的估值已经虚高,有些个股的股价更是严重偏离了公司基本面。

此外,受本轮次新股遭遇爆炒的影响,短期内中签新股的投资者的收益预期将大幅提升,同时加之市场炒新热情的逐步高涨,近期上市的新股可能出现股价过度上涨的情形,同时导致次新股整体板块估值短期内出现非理性上涨,这也将给二级市场投资者带来一定的投资风险。

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