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谨慎情绪升温 资金连续撤离

2017-08-25 08:33:17   新华网

昨日,由于大盘冲击3300点再度铩羽而归,昨日市场信心回落、指数全面回调,资金也已连续五个交易日呈现净流出态势。其中,前期热点如有色金属、计算机、非银金融和通信等都是资金流出的“重灾区”。短线而言,近期热点持续性普遍偏弱,资金短炒心态突出,尾盘净流出格局显示出资金参与意愿普遍较低。

观望情绪渐浓

昨日在周期股回暖的带动下,沪指再度逼近3300,然而冲关未果,沪指大幅下挫。上证综指跌0.49%收于3271.51点,深证成指跌0.63%收于10552.96点,创业板指跌0.64%收于1795.74点,权重蓝筹依然抗跌。

资金流向方面,Wind数据显示,昨日沪深两市仍然呈现主力净流出状态,金额为237.62亿元。虽较前一交易日的257.84亿元的净流出规模出现小幅减少,但已是连续第五个交易日主力资金呈现净流出态势。一方面,从昨日两市量能方面仅有4076亿来看,当前市场资金参与意愿普遍较弱。另一方面,近几个交易日以来,从尾盘均呈现的净流出情况来看,资金观望的意愿也比较强烈。

Wind数据显示,分板块看,沪深300昨日净流出87.12亿元,创业板净流出金额达40.98亿元,中小板为62.56亿元。昨日开盘和尾盘资金均呈现净流出,但尾盘净流出规模相较早盘有所缩减。

中金公司表示,前期权益市场“该弱实强”,表现出很强的韧性,虽不担心系统性的调整风险。但问题是,当前,沪深300指数等尚未重回上行通道,距离前期密集成交区仍较近,成交量萎缩明显。此外,美国“301调查”等也可能带来一定短期压力。在系统性风险不大的背景下,当前应对方案建议适度收缩仓位。

资金着力点缺乏

由于近期的领涨热点持续性较差,赚钱效应较弱,场外资金进场做多的积极性不高,前期热点也遭遇了资金的回吐。

从昨日资金流向来看,申万28个行业中,仅家用电器板块获得资金流入,金额仅为2.77亿元。而剩余27个行业均出现了资金流出,其中流出金额居前就是前几日的热点板块如有色金属、计算机、非银金融,其流出的规模均超过了20亿元。

分析人士指出,一方面,由于3300点数度冲击无果,市场情绪降温,资金短炒出局。这导致热点板块的持续性不强,资金流入、流出的速度较快,此前的热门板块轮动较为频繁。另一方面,流入首位的家用电器板块也仅流入2.77亿元,相较前日银行板块动辄17.95亿元的资金流入来说,可谓“小巫见大巫”。这体现出资金避险意愿上升。而昨日方大炭素再度云集游资逆势上扬这一现象,背后其实折射的也是抱团避险心态。

此前,招商证券就曾指出,上证指数前期的缩量盘整是重大方向选择的前兆。而上证指数本身的图谱已对多头非常不利,后期大盘如要顺利冲关3300点,金融和资源板块的一同发力极为必要。短期来看,资金能否重新流向金融和资源板块将会对大盘走向产生实际意义。(实习记者 黎旅嘉)

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