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调整是大概率事件

2017-08-25 07:31:30   中国经济网

基本面背景

1、央行昨日公告称,开展800亿元中央国库现金管理商业银行定期存款操作,银行体系流动性总量处于适中水平,不开展公开市场操作。本周共有7500亿元逆回购到期。

2、中国钢铁工业协会副秘书长王颖生昨日在深圳举行的“2017(第六届)中国煤焦矿产业大会”上表示,兼并重组是钢铁行业下一步的重点任务,未来行业重组会逐步提高。

3、混改龙头联通昨日低开后大幅跳水,盘中跌幅一度超过8%,收盘下跌6.7%,成交量逾73亿元。联通港股也复制A股走势,收盘下跌2.99%,收于11.68港元。此外,拟参与联通混改的宜通世纪跌逾4%,网宿科技、苏宁云商、用友网络等股价也纷纷走低。混改概念股中国海诚跌近7%,久联发展下跌2%。

机构看市

昨日开盘两市股指涨跌不一,上证综指上午冲击3300点未果,午后伴随中国联通的跳水走势低迷;创业板指上午曾在次新股的带领下翻红,下午次新龙头股中科信息临停,创业板人气涣散,创业板指走势回落。玻璃、猪肉概念、ST概念、油气设服、环保等板块涨幅居前;5G概念、区块链、国产软件等板块跌幅居前。

天信投顾:昨日上证综指再度向3300点关口发起一波冲击,但再一次失利。股指连续多次冲击3300点关口未果,说明当前市场已是“强弩之末”。昨日K线形态形成不太明显的“断头铡”态势,预计周五延续调整将是大概率事件。

广州万隆:近期A股走势一直维持低迷成交的状态,但结构性机会相当明显。投资者已形成较为一致的预期,资金面对行情虽有制约作用,但整体风险并不大。从行为心理分析角度来看,支撑投资者信心的因素主要是热点的不断切换。

宁波海顺:对于后市短期市场进攻的主流方向,看好券商股和中小创。券商的中报业绩加上国家队增持的信息以及本身的估值优势,决定了券商股可能会成为股指冲关3300点的主力军。周二尾盘券商股曾异动拉升,周三又缩量急跌,似乎是在做起跳前的下蹲蓄能。一旦主板迈过3300点关口,超跌的优质中小创股票必然是市场首选的投资目标。

钱坤投资:上证综指在经过连续反弹后步入调整,量能也出现萎缩。保险股和银行股冲高回落,周二助攻的券商股也直接进入调整。在缩量的条件下,上证综指是难以有效突破3300点关口的,即使突破也是假突破。股指在此时主动调整,是在蓄势,只有把基础打牢,才更有希望摧城拔寨。创业板指昨日继续调整,从调整时间来说,调整得已经较为充分,目前仍是低吸机会,仓位可保持5成左右。

珞珈投资:昨日盘面依然维持热点上冲乏力的轮番反弹格局。上证综指接近3300点后,剧烈震荡将不可避免,昨日冲高后尾盘回落,除了受中科信息停牌的压力外,市场热点乏力已成为影响主流资金情绪的核心因素。股指的短期走势仍要看大盘蓝筹股的表现而定。

北京晨报记者 王莉

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