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调整如期而至 关注下档均线支撑

2017-08-25 07:28:29   中国经济网

上证日K线图

本报记者 林珂

周四两市双双出现调整,沪指盘中再次冲击3300点未果,深成指则低开低走跌破10日均线支撑。截至收盘,沪指报收3271.51点,下跌0.49%;深成指报收10552.96点,下跌0.63%;创业板指报收1795.74点,下跌0.64%。两市成交量继续萎缩。

盘面上,环保、可燃冰、公共交通等板块是为数不多逆势反弹的板块。区块链、电信运营、证券等板块则处在板块跌幅榜前列。个股方面,随着大盘出现调整,个股开始普跌,两市涨停个股达到38只,同时有1股跌停。

消息面上,近日国家发改委政策研究室副主任孟玮透露了关于混合所有制改革的最新情况:目前发改委已经遴选出第三批试点企业,且正在按程序报批。在第三批混改试点中,除了继续选择部分中央企业纳入试点范围,还根据地方申请,遴选一部分地方国有企业纳入试点。

可以看到,近期市场中热议的混改题材在中国联通大幅下挫后开始明显分化。从中国联通走势来看,复牌连拉两涨停后开始明显回落,周四该股跌幅接近7%。同时拟参与中国联通混改的苏宁云商、网宿科技、宜通世纪纷纷出现持续调整。但从混改概念股来看,仍有部分概念股逆势走高,概念股内部分化加剧。有业内人士指出,中国联通混改方案出台,是目前适合跟踪的题材标的。但并非所有的混改标的都会有好表现。以2014年7月第一批混改试点入围企业中粮集团和国药集团旗下的上市公司为例,统计其混改试点以来的业绩和涨幅发现,并非所有混改的公司都能跑赢大盘,只有业绩有实质性改善,保持持续增长的企业相对全部A股有正的超额收益。“重要压力位久攻不破,大盘回调寻新支撑不难理解,短线延续震荡走势。”接受记者采访的券商分析师表示:“从指数重要压力位来看,沪指3300点,以及创业板1840点在近期多次尝试突破未果后纷纷转入调整走势。就趋势来看,部分资金在压力位前主动撤出观望,上档压力有继续强化的态势。同时成交低迷也是导致大盘疲弱的关键因素之一。总体来看,大盘短期反弹走势已被破坏,下档20日均线支撑需重点关注。我们认为短期大盘将延续震荡走势,以时间换空间的方式蓄势再冲关。”

巨丰投顾则表示,大盘缩量上行后迎来回调,短期失手5日均线,还有继续回调的空间。总体上,近期一直强调的3300点压力叠加以及成交不足下难以上攻,而此种情况也需谨防急跌风险,这个在周四尾盘表现的淋漓尽致。短期,次新股龙头中科信息停牌,这对于次新股的分化将是标志性的动作,次新股的回调对指数的影响是显而易见的;而中国联通的大跌也是市场走低的导火索。所以,目前在存量资金博弈下,市场区间震荡的格局已经很明显。任何题材都不会得到大肆炒作,而在各路资金初步介入市场的当下,指数回调的空间也被封杀。

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