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时隔8个月重上半年线创业板渐热但需注意分化

2017-08-18 11:04:59   中国经济网

记者 林珂

休整多日的沪指在周四企稳回升领涨各大指数,并一举站上10日、20日均线。深市各大股指继续刷新本轮反弹新高。值得一提的是,前一交易日受制于半年线的创业板指在周四低开高走,收盘站上阔别8个多月的半年线,同时突破了前期平台高点。

截至收盘,沪指报收3268.43点,上涨0.68%;深成指报收10653.73点,上涨0.5%;创业板指报收1833.4点,上涨0.45%。两市成交量继续放大。

盘面上,船舶、软件、人工智能等板块涨幅居前。酿酒、百元股等则成为为数不多逆势调整的板块。个股方面,大盘放量反弹中上涨个股家数继续增多,但涨停个股却在减少。两市共30股涨停,无一股跌停。

创业板指站上半年线,反弹是否演变成反转?对此,中航证券认为,反转需要具备一些条件,估值见底、业绩见底和资金关注度提升以及存在长期投资逻辑等。目前来说虽然不具备完全的长期逻辑,但结构性逻辑是成立的。

市场不知不觉调转了方向,创业板在人们将信将疑的过程中不断上行,周四则再创反弹新高。前期热门的主板个股未来还将有反复,不过总体来说主板的主线地位已经松动,也就是说资金在一定周期内主攻一个方向是震荡市的必然选择。而当下不管是政策面、资金面、估值面都导向创业板。

就短期走势来看,沪指虽然突破短期均线压制,但上方压力重重,持续反弹存在一定难度。巨丰投顾指出,在证金入主相关个股刺激下,创业板持续反弹,创蓝筹表现强势。目前局部性行情较为明显,全线走强仍需时日,短期反弹后注意分化。“大盘虽然出现震荡反弹走势,但成交量未能有效放大仍为后市留下一定隐患。”接受《金融投资报》记者采访的券商分析师表示:“周四两市结束跷跷板走势同步反弹,市场热点开始增多。但可以看到的是,大盘成交量虽然有所放大,但并不明显。就短期来看,沪指在突破短期均线后支撑位在3260点附近,而上档压力位则在3280-3300点位置,在成交量不能明显放大背景下,压力位或难以轻松突破。就市场最为关注的创业板来看,指数连续数日反弹并站上半年线,但考虑到部分强势股已开始冲高回落,或给股指持续反弹带来压力,故创业板短线或将沿半年线震荡蓄势。操作策略上,大盘有望延续震荡反弹格局,结构性机会仍是后市重点。”

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