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创业板的机会来了吗?

2017-08-15 10:14:29   中国经济网

国家队入局 创业板指半个月涨超6%

连续跌了2年多的创业板,终于迎来了曙光。昨日,创业板指迎来久违的大涨,全天几乎呈45度角一路上行。截至收盘,创业板指大涨51.34点,报收1793.48点,大涨2.95%。这也是近半个月以来创业板指收出的第3根大阳线。

悲 8成创业板股今年下跌

自2016年以来,A股市场一直唯“价值投资”马首是瞻,牛股阵营一直被资源股和白马股所霸占。先是大蓝筹炙手可热,继而是资源股一飞冲天。与之相比,创业板股票显得很受伤。

同花顺统计数据显示,在569只创业板股票中,今年股价上涨的股票只有90只。这意味着,今年以来,超过8成的创业板股票涨幅为负。今年前七个月,上证综指累计上涨5.45%,深证成指累计上涨3.22%,中小板指累计上涨9%,唯独创业板指逆势下跌,且跌幅超过10%。

喜 最近半个月反弹6.67%

2017年7月17日,创业板指大跌5.11%。随后,创业板市场开始企稳反弹。昨日,一批创业板个股直奔涨停,区块链、苹果概念、国产软件等板块走势抢眼。从7月17日到昨日收盘,创业板指累计上涨6.67%。特别是7月27日,创业板指曾大涨3.62%,创下今年以来最大单日涨幅。

 惊 国家队首次重仓创业板

创业板个股走势渐强,与相关公司上半年业绩改善密不可分。上市公司半年报信息显示,创业板企业正在逐渐走出低谷,以至于平素深爱大蓝筹的国家队也开始首次重仓创业板股票。

最新披露的半年报显示,中国证金新进入10家公司前十大股东或前十大流通股东名单,其中有9家是创业板公司。而且,这9家创业板公司全部是绩优股,今年上半年的业绩全部盈利。有市场人士表示,被冷落已久的创业板市场终于重新回到机构投资者的视野。

 觉 跟着国家队玩一把票

连国家队都重新青睐创业板股票了,散户投资者可不可以跟着玩把票呢?英大证券研究所所长李大霄认为,投资者可以看好创业板,但需要注意几个前提。首先,低风险承受能力者要远离创业板,只有极高风险承受能力者才可以极少量参与。其次,国家队配置创业板的比例应该是比较低的,投资者在参与时,可考虑比国家队更低一点。最后,参与创业板的投资者应具备很强的上市公司研究能力。

国信证券分析师也认为,创业板市场的近期反弹,与国家队开始关注有关。A股投资者历来将国家队当作行情的风向标,国家队在二季度抄底创业板的消息一传出,投资者对创业板的心态一下子就不一样了。而国家队又以中长线的价值投资为主,这或许是在告诉市场:创业板已具备中长线的配置机会了。

觅 两大领域寻找龙头股

但也有市场人士认为,经过长期下跌后,创业板个股的估值泡沫已被大量挤出。近期创业板行情复苏,主要逻辑来自创业板公司业绩的改善和修复。近期率先走出独立上涨行情的创业板个股,恰恰是业绩成长性较好的股票。未来,投资创业板还是要以业绩为导向。

融通创业板指数基金经理蔡志伟认为,创业板后市会加剧分化,但目前仍属于左侧布局积累底部筹码的好时机。一些业绩与估值匹配度更好的个股会有更大机会;权重股可能会压制创业板的反弹。蔡志伟分析称,未来创业板的新龙头可能会从新能源产业链、苹果产业链中产生,创业板的机会就在这里。

■股价创近一年新高的创业板个股

代码 简称 昨收盘(元) 今年涨幅(%)

北京晨报首席记者 王洁

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