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贵州茅台飙涨国家队浮盈13亿元 6只精选白酒股有望接棒冲刺

2017-08-15 09:44:14   新华网

昨日,贵州茅台股价再创历史新高,盘中一度飙涨至500.10元,截至收盘,大涨3.26%,报499.83元,最新总市值达到6278.85亿元。

在贵州茅台股价暴涨带动下,昨日还有其他15只白酒股实现上涨,白酒板块呈现全面爆发之势。具体来看,今世缘、顺鑫农业、迎驾贡酒、金徽酒等4只白酒股昨日涨幅也均在3%以上,分别为:8.21%、4.67%、3.47%、3.04%。

除贵州茅台股价创历史新高外,最近3个交易日,五粮液、伊力特、古井贡酒、泸州老窖、水井坊、山西汾酒等6只白酒股也曾在盘中改写历史新高,引发市场广泛关注。

值得一提的是,根据贵州茅台中报披露显示,公司前十大流通股股东名单中出现了以中国证券金融股份有限公司、中央汇金资产管理有限责任公司等为代表的国家队身影,截至二季度末国家队持股数量达到3555.94万股,持股总额为1677869.39万元,假设截至昨日国家队持股数量并未发生变化,账面浮盈约为13亿元。

对于贵州茅台后市表现,部分机构仍维持乐观态度并不断调高预测目标价,其中,中金公司给出的预测目标价最高,已达到692元。

伴随标杆选手贵州茅台的飙涨,市场对其他白酒股能否冲刺也引发遐想。国金证券就指出,考虑到去年上半年高端白酒势头初起、次高端白酒基本面尚未有效抬升、基数普遍不高,自今年起次高端品种将进入快速发展期、弹性凸显,后期值得重点关注。

通过资金流向、机构评级、业绩表现等三指标梳理白酒股发现:

昨日,除贵州茅台获大单资金青睐净流入43155.30万元,泸州老窖(7947.48万元)、顺鑫农业(5497.14万元)、五粮液(5458.12万元)、今世缘(3623.20万元)、口子窖(1222.57万元)、伊力特(478.24万元)、迎驾贡酒(271.31万元)、青青稞酒(158.88万元)等8只个股也均实现大单资金净流入。

机构评级方面,最近1个月内,共有14只白酒股被机构给予“买入”或“增持”等看好评级,其中,贵州茅台机构看好评级家数居首,达到29家,水井坊、泸州老窖、山西汾酒、五粮液等4只个股机构看好评级家数也均在10家以上,分别为:18家、14家、13家、10家,此外,获机构看好的白酒股还有:今世缘(8家)、沱牌舍得(4家)、酒鬼酒(4家)、伊力特(3家)、洋河股份(3家)、口子窖(2家)、金徽酒(2家)、迎驾贡酒(1家)、古井贡酒(1家)。而除贵州茅台被机构给予预测目标价外,洋河股份、五粮液、沱牌舍得、水井坊、山西汾酒、泸州老窖、口子窖、金徽酒、今世缘等9只个股也被机构给予预测目标价,上述个股最新收盘价较机构预测目标价上涨空间均在10%以上。

业绩方面,截至昨日,酒鬼酒、贵州茅台、水井坊、金徽酒、今世缘等5家白酒上市公司已披露中报业绩,中报净利润均实现同比增长,同比增幅分别为:113.62%、27.81%、25.66%、23.95%、22.29%,此外,在已披露中报业绩预告的白酒类上市公司中,洋河股份、老白干酒、山西汾酒、沱牌舍得等4家公司也有望实现中报净利润同比增长。而泸州老窖、五粮液、今世缘、伊力特、口子窖、迎驾贡酒等6家公司虽然并未披露中报业绩或中报业绩预告,但是一季报净利润均实现同比增长,业绩表现也较为突出。

综合来看,泸州老窖、五粮液、今世缘、口子窖、伊力特、迎驾贡酒等6只个股同时满足昨日资金净流入、机构看好、业绩增长,成为白酒板块中除贵州茅台外,后市表现备受期待的品种。(记者 吴珊)

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